Inter-League

Hiroshima Carp

3 - 1

Nippon Ham Fighters

Wed, Jun 3, 2026 09:00 (UTC)


FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 60%
D: 0%
Away: 40%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.50 - 1.69)
HOMETEAM: 40%
1%
AWAYTEAM: 59%

Hiroshima Carp (Fact Index 2.50): Expected Win % is 40%, compared to a 55% actual win rate for identical index values.

Nippon Ham Fighters (Fact Index 1.69): Expected Win % is 59%, compared to a 36% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 55%
9%
AWAY : 36%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 64%
18%
Underdog : 18%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 5.5 - 2.9 (Model A.)
Hiroshima Carp : 58% (▲ 18%)
0% (▼ 1%)
Nippon Ham Fighters : 42% (▼ 17%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Hiroshima Carp | 0.375 | 0.437 | ▲ 0.062
T | Nippon Ham Fighters | 0.491 | 0.513 | ▲ 0.022
H | Hiroshima Carp | 0.400 | 0.379 | ▼ 0.021
A | Nippon Ham Fighters | 0.433 | 0.441 | ▲ 0.008
P | Hiroshima Carp | 0.000 | 0.206 | ▲ 0.206
P | Nippon Ham Fighters | 0.667 | 0.706 | ▲ 0.039
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 2.8 - 4.1 (Model B.4)
Hiroshima Carp : 34% (▼ 6%)
0% (▼ 1%)
Nippon Ham Fighters : 66% (▲ 7%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)


Average Odds : 2.2 - 1.7
Hiroshima Carp : 43% (▲ 3%)
0% (▼ 1%)
Nippon Ham Fighters : 57% (▼ 2%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 40%
D : 0%
AWAY : 60%

Awayteam = 1.7 Trend:

HOME : 57%
D : 3%
AWAY : 40%

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