Seibu Lions

1 - 3

Chiba Lotte Marines

Wed, May 20, 2026 09:00 (UTC)


FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 60%
D: 0%
Away: 40%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.54 - 2.94)
HOMETEAM: 65%
1%
AWAYTEAM: 34%

Seibu Lions (Fact Index 1.54): Expected Win % is 65%, compared to a 33% actual win rate for identical index values.

Chiba Lotte Marines (Fact Index 2.94): Expected Win % is 34%, compared to a 56% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 33%
11%
AWAY : 56%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 33%
11%
Underdog : 56%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 6.0 - 3.0 (Model A.)
Seibu Lions : 73% (▲ 8%)
0% (▼ 1%)
Chiba Lotte Marines : 27% (▼ 7%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Seibu Lions | 0.581 | 0.582 | ▲ 0.001
T | Chiba Lotte Marines | 0.429 | 0.406 | ▼ 0.023
H | Seibu Lions | 0.571 | 0.629 | ▲ 0.058
A | Chiba Lotte Marines | 0.250 | 0.233 | ▼ 0.017
P | Seibu Lions | 0.833 | 0.766 | ▼ 0.067
P | Chiba Lotte Marines | 0.667 | 0.574 | ▼ 0.093
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 3.2 - 3.1 (Model B.4)
Seibu Lions : 57% (▼ 8%)
0% (▼ 1%)
Chiba Lotte Marines : 43% (▲ 9%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)


Average Odds : 1.7 - 2.1
Seibu Lions : 54% (▼ 11%)
0% (▼ 1%)
Chiba Lotte Marines : 46% (▲ 12%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 54%
D : 3%
AWAY : 43%

Hometeam = 1.7 Trend:

HOME : 57%
D : 3%
AWAY : 40%

© 2020 - 2026 | Waveflow SportsLab | Terms of Use · Privacy Policy | All Rights Reserved.

©2026 Waveflow SportsLab
Terms of Use | Privacy Policy