St. Louis Cardinals

1 - 9

Washington Nationals

Losing Skid Hits 3 for Struggling St. Louis Cardinals.

Sat, Sep 19, 2026 00:15 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 60%
D: 0%
Away: 40%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.89 - 2.13)
HOMETEAM: 53%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 47%

Weight: [Close] (24.14)
Intensity: [Fierce] (75.86)

St. Louis Cardinals (Fact Index 1.89):
Expected Win % is 53%, compared to a 53% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 53% in this event.

Washington Nationals (Fact Index 2.13):
Expected Win % is 47%, compared to a 47% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 47% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

St. Louis Cardinals:
T : 0.497 (0.492 / ▲0.005)
H : 0.487 (0.427 / ▲0.060)
A : 0.507 (0.549 / ▼0.042)
P : 0.500 (0.465 / ▲0.035)

Washington Nationals:
T : 0.464 (0.502 / ▼0.038)
H : 0.474 (0.484 / ▼0.010)
A : 0.453 (0.523 / ▼0.070)
P : 0.667 (0.430 / ▲0.237)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 53%
0%
AWAY : 47%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 53%
0%
Underdog : 47%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 53%
0%
AWAY : 47%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 53%
0%
Underdog : 47%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 5.1 - 5.0 (Model A.)
St. Louis Cardinals : 53% (-)
0% (-)
Washington Nationals : 47% (-)

Expected Runs (xR) : 5.1 - 4.4 (Model B.4)
St. Louis Cardinals : 58% (▲ 5%)
0% (-)
Washington Nationals : 42% (▼ 5%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.9 - 2.0
St. Louis Cardinals : 51% (▼ 2%)
0% (-)
Washington Nationals : 49% (▲ 2%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 43%
D : 0%
AWAY : 57%

Based on Home team = 1.9 (51%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 50%
D : 0%
AWAY : 50%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 43%
D : 0%
AWAY : 57%

Based on Home team = 1.9 (51%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 57%
D : 0%
AWAY : 43%


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