St. Louis Cardinals

7 - 4

Colorado Rockies

Sun, Aug 9, 2026 18:15 (UTC)


FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 0%
Away: 50%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.89 - 2.13)
HOMETEAM: 53%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 47%

Weight: [Gap Exists] (44.83)
Intensity: [Moderate] (55.17)

St. Louis Cardinals (Fact Index 1.89):
Expected Win % is 53%, compared to a 57% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 57% in this event.

Colorado Rockies (Fact Index 2.13):
Expected Win % is 47%, compared to a 43% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 43% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

St. Louis Cardinals:
T : 0.496 (0.490 / ▲0.006)
H : 0.468 (0.412 / ▲0.056)
A : 0.527 (0.566 / ▼0.039)
P : 0.667 (0.658 / ▲0.009)

Colorado Rockies:
T : 0.397 (0.425 / ▼0.028)
H : 0.458 (0.421 / ▲0.037)
A : 0.333 (0.429 / ▼0.096)
P : 0.333 (0.474 / ▼0.141)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 57%
0%
AWAY : 43%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 47%
0%
Underdog : 53%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 57%
0%
AWAY : 43%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 47%
0%
Underdog : 53%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 4.4 - 4.0 (Model A.)
St. Louis Cardinals : 54% (▲ 1%)
0% (-)
Colorado Rockies : 46% (▼ 1%)

Expected Runs (xR) : 4.2 - 4.7 (Model B.4)
St. Louis Cardinals : 41% (▼ 12%)
0% (-)
Colorado Rockies : 59% (▲ 12%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.6 - 2.4
St. Louis Cardinals : 60% (▲ 7%)
0% (-)
Colorado Rockies : 40% (▼ 7%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 67%
D : 0%
AWAY : 33%

Based on Home team = 1.6 (60%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 67%
D : 0%
AWAY : 33%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 63%
D : 0%
AWAY : 37%

Based on Home team = 1.6 (60%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 63%
D : 0%
AWAY : 37%


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