Inter-League

Houston Astros

2 - 12

LA Dodgers

Wed, May 6, 2026 18:10 (UTC)


Facts

Houston Astros :
L. McCullers (SP, L, 2-3, 7.41) 2.2, 4H, 6R, 6ER, 3BB, 4K, 1HR
HR: Matthews (4, 1st inning off Glasnow 0 on, 0 Out)
RBI: Matthews (13), Cole (2)
LA Dodgers :
T. Glasnow (SP, 2.72) 1.0, 1H, 1R, 1ER, 2K, 1HR
J. Dreyer (W, 2-1, 2.60) 2.0, 1H, 1K
2B: Freeman (10, Alexander); Tucker (8, McCullers Jr.); Ohtani (7, McCullers Jr.)
3B: Kim (1, Alexander)
HR: Pages 3 (8, 3rd inning off McCullers Jr. 2 on, 2 Out, 5th inning off Alexander 1 on, 1 Out, 9th inning off Salazar 0 on, 0 Out)
RBI: Freeman (19), Ohtani (15), Pages 6 (33), Freeland (8)
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 70%
D: 0%
Away: 30%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.82 - 2.22)
HOMETEAM: 55%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 45%

Houston Astros (Fact Index 1.82): Expected Win % is 55%, compared to a 47% actual win rate for identical index values.

LA Dodgers (Fact Index 2.22): Expected Win % is 45%, compared to a 53% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 47%
0%
AWAY : 53%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 43%
7%
Underdog : 50%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 4.5 - 5.0 (Model A.)
Houston Astros : 50% (▼ 5%)
0% (-)
LA Dodgers : 50% (▲ 5%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Houston Astros | 0.405 | 0.437 | ▲ 0.032
T | LA Dodgers | 0.583 | 0.674 | ▲ 0.091
H | Houston Astros | 0.500 | 0.461 | ▼ 0.039
A | LA Dodgers | 0.556 | 0.703 | ▲ 0.147
P | Houston Astros | 0.667 | 0.596 | ▼ 0.071
P | LA Dodgers | 0.333 | 0.500 | ▲ 0.167
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 4.0 - 3.2 (Model B.4)
Houston Astros : 62% (▲ 7%)
0% (-)
LA Dodgers : 38% (▼ 7%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)


Average Odds : 2.7 - 1.5
Houston Astros : 35% (▼ 20%)
0% (-)
LA Dodgers : 65% (▲ 20%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 37%
D : 0%
AWAY : 63%

Awayteam = 1.5 Trend:

HOME : 40%
D : 0%
AWAY : 60%

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