Miami Marlins

3 - 6

EXT / 10

Cincinnati Reds

Cincinnati Reds Extension: Miami Marlins Slump Reaches 4 Games. Meanwhile, Cincinnati Reds confirms a run of 5 straight victories.

Tue, Apr 7, 2026 22:40 (UTC)


Facts

Miami Marlins :
S. Alcantara (SP, 0.74) 8.1, 3H, 2R, 2ER, 2BB, 6K
B: A. Bender (2, 9.00)
C. Faucher (L, 1-1, 6.23) 0.1, 2H, 4R, 3ER, 2BB, 1K
2B: Ramírez (2, Abbott)
RBI: Lopez (4), Hernández (5), Pauley (4)
Cincinnati Reds :
A. Abbott (SP, 3.18) 5.1, 6H, 2R, 2ER, 2BB, 2K
E. Pagan (W, 1-0, 6.14) 1.0, 2BB, 2K
2B: McLain 2 (3, Alcantara, Faucher)
RBI: Lowe (2), McLain 2 (3), De La Cruz (6), Stewart (6)
Sandy Alcantara pitched into the 9th inning AGAIN! 😲 | MLB Highlights
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 0%
Away: 50%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.44 - 1.69)
HOMETEAM: 41%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 59%

Miami Marlins (Fact Index 2.44): Expected Win % is 41%, compared to a 40% actual win rate for identical index values.

Cincinnati Reds (Fact Index 1.69): Expected Win % is 59%, compared to a 57% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 40%
3%
AWAY : 57%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 46%
7%
Underdog : 47%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 5.5 - 5.5 (Model A.)
Miami Marlins : 46% (▲ 5%)
0% (-)
Cincinnati Reds : 54% (▼ 5%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Miami Marlins | 0.600 | 0.559 | ▼ 0.041
T | Cincinnati Reds | 0.700 | 0.468 | ▼ 0.232
H | Miami Marlins | 0.714 | 0.714 | 0.000
A | Cincinnati Reds | 1.000 | 0.864 | ▼ 0.136
P | Miami Marlins | 0.500 | 0.617 | ▲ 0.117
P | Cincinnati Reds | 0.667 | 0.426 | ▼ 0.241
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 3.5 - 4.6 (Model B.4)
Miami Marlins : 38% (▼ 3%)
0% (-)
Cincinnati Reds : 62% (▲ 3%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)


Average Odds : 1.8 - 2.1
Miami Marlins : 55% (▲ 14%)
0% (-)
Cincinnati Reds : 45% (▼ 14%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 67%
D : 3%
AWAY : 30%

Hometeam = 1.8 Trend:

HOME : 67%
D : 0%
AWAY : 33%

© 2020 - 2026 | Waveflow SportsLab | Terms of Use · Privacy Policy | All Rights Reserved.

©2026 Waveflow SportsLab
Terms of Use | Privacy Policy