Yokohama Baystars

0 - 10

Hiroshima Carp

Wed, May 6, 2026 05:00 (UTC)


Facts

Yokohama Baystars :
Fukazawa Osuke (SP, L, 0-1, 6.23) 4.2, 8H, 1HR, 2K, 1BB, 8K, 3R
2B: Miyazaki Toshiro
Hiroshima Carp :
Kuribayashi Ryoji (SP, W, 3-1, 0.96) 7.0, 3H, 6K, 0ER
2B: Sakakura Shogo, Ohmori Minoru
HR: Kikuchi Ryosuke (1, 3rd Fukazawa Osuke, 3R), Mochimaru Taiki (2, 6th Ishida Kenta, S)
RBI: Akiyama Shogo, Kikuchi Ryosuke 3, Hirakawa Ren 2, Yano Masaya, Mochimaru Taiki, Noma Takayoshi
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 80%
D: 10%
Away: 10%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.67 - 3.70)
HOMETEAM: 60%
13%
AWAYTEAM: 27%

Yokohama Baystars (Fact Index 1.67): Expected Win % is 60%, compared to a 0% actual win rate for identical index values.

Hiroshima Carp (Fact Index 3.70): Expected Win % is 27%, compared to a 100% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 0%
0%
AWAY : 100%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 100%
0%
Underdog : 0%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 6.0 - 5.5 (Model A.)
Yokohama Baystars : 61% (▲ 1%)
0% (▼ 13%)
Hiroshima Carp : 39% (▲ 12%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Yokohama Baystars | 0.500 | 0.514 | ▲ 0.014
T | Hiroshima Carp | 0.370 | 0.423 | ▲ 0.053
H | Yokohama Baystars | 0.538 | 0.500 | ▼ 0.038
A | Hiroshima Carp | 0.273 | 0.465 | ▲ 0.192
P | Yokohama Baystars | 0.600 | 0.555 | ▼ 0.045
P | Hiroshima Carp | 0.400 | 0.433 | ▲ 0.033
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 4.7 - 3.6 (Model B.4)
Yokohama Baystars : 62% (▲ 2%)
0% (▼ 13%)
Hiroshima Carp : 38% (▲ 11%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)


Average Odds : 1.9 - 1.9
Yokohama Baystars : 49% (▼ 11%)
0% (▼ 13%)
Hiroshima Carp : 51% (▲ 24%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 43%
D : 0%
AWAY : 57%

Hometeam 1.9 = 1.9 Awayteam Trend:

HOME : 37%
D : 0%
AWAY : 63%

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