Nippon Ham Fighters

5 - 3

Seibu Lions

Sat, Apr 18, 2026 05:00 (UTC)


FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 0%
Away: 50%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.92 - 2.13)
HOMETEAM: 52%
1%
AWAYTEAM: 47%

Nippon Ham Fighters (Fact Index 1.92): Expected Win % is 52%, compared to a 67% actual win rate for identical index values.

Seibu Lions (Fact Index 2.13): Expected Win % is 47%, compared to a 33% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 67%
0%
AWAY : 33%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 67%
0%
Underdog : 33%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 7.0 - 4.5 (Model A.)
Nippon Ham Fighters : 63% (▲ 11%)
0% (▼ 1%)
Seibu Lions : 37% (▼ 10%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Nippon Ham Fighters | 0.444 | 0.583 | ▲ 0.139
T | Seibu Lions | 0.389 | 0.300 | ▼ 0.089
H | Nippon Ham Fighters | 0.556 | 0.709 | ▲ 0.153
A | Seibu Lions | 0.400 | 0.258 | ▼ 0.142
P | Nippon Ham Fighters | 0.167 | 0.375 | ▲ 0.208
P | Seibu Lions | 0.500 | 0.351 | ▼ 0.149
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 4.9 - 3.9 (Model B.4)
Nippon Ham Fighters : 63% (▲ 11%)
0% (▼ 1%)
Seibu Lions : 37% (▼ 10%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)


Average Odds : 1.5 - 2.7
Nippon Ham Fighters : 65% (▲ 13%)
0% (▼ 1%)
Seibu Lions : 35% (▼ 12%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 60%
D : 0%
AWAY : 40%

Hometeam = 1.5 Trend:

HOME : 73%
D : 0%
AWAY : 27%

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