Inter-League

Hiroshima Carp

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Chiba Lotte Marines

Chiba Lotte Marines Extension: Hiroshima Carp Slump Reaches 4 Games. However, Chiba Lotte Marines are riding a wave of 3 consecutive wins.

Thu, May 28, 2026 09:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 30%
D: 0%
Away: 70%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.44 - 1.72)
HOMETEAM: 41%
1%
AWAYTEAM: 58%

Hiroshima Carp (Fact Index 2.44): Expected Win % is 41%, compared to a 56% actual win rate for identical index values.

Chiba Lotte Marines (Fact Index 1.72): Expected Win % is 58%, compared to a 44% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 56%
0%
AWAY : 44%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 52%
4%
Underdog : 44%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 4.5 - 3.5 (Model A.)
Hiroshima Carp : 52% (▲ 11%)
0% (▼ 1%)
Chiba Lotte Marines : 48% (▼ 10%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Hiroshima Carp | 0.409 | 0.461 | ▲ 0.052
T | Chiba Lotte Marines | 0.479 | 0.429 | ▼ 0.050
H | Hiroshima Carp | 0.417 | 0.391 | ▼ 0.026
A | Chiba Lotte Marines | 0.385 | 0.312 | ▼ 0.073
P | Hiroshima Carp | 0.500 | 0.478 | ▼ 0.022
P | Chiba Lotte Marines | 0.833 | 0.579 | ▼ 0.254
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 3.2 - 3.4 (Model B.4)
Hiroshima Carp : 47% (▲ 6%)
0% (▼ 1%)
Chiba Lotte Marines : 53% (▼ 5%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)


Average Odds : 1.9 - 1.9
Hiroshima Carp : 51% (▲ 10%)
0% (▼ 1%)
Chiba Lotte Marines : 49% (▼ 9%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 57%
D : 0%
AWAY : 43%

Hometeam 1.9 = 1.9 Awayteam Trend:

HOME : 47%
D : 0%
AWAY : 53%

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