Chunichi Dragons

6 - 2

Hiroshima Carp

Hiroshima Carp Away Woes Continue: 10th Straight Loss.

Tue, Apr 14, 2026 09:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 30%
D: 0%
Away: 70%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (3.03 - 1.49)
HOMETEAM: 33%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 67%

Chunichi Dragons (Fact Index 3.03): Expected Win % is 33%, compared to a 57% actual win rate for identical index values.

Hiroshima Carp (Fact Index 1.49): Expected Win % is 67%, compared to a 43% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 57%
0%
AWAY : 43%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 60%
3%
Underdog : 37%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 5.0 - 3.5 (Model A.)
Chunichi Dragons : 52% (▲ 19%)
0% (-)
Hiroshima Carp : 48% (▼ 19%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Chunichi Dragons | 0.214 | 0.310 | ▲ 0.096
T | Hiroshima Carp | 0.417 | 0.430 | ▲ 0.013
H | Chunichi Dragons | 0.167 | 0.230 | ▲ 0.063
A | Hiroshima Carp | 0.000 | 0.282 | ▲ 0.282
P | Chunichi Dragons | 0.167 | 0.286 | ▲ 0.119
P | Hiroshima Carp | 0.333 | 0.479 | ▲ 0.146
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 2.6 - 4.3 (Model B.4)
Chunichi Dragons : 30% (▼ 3%)
0% (-)
Hiroshima Carp : 70% (▲ 3%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)


Average Odds : 1.7 - 2.1
Chunichi Dragons : 55% (▲ 22%)
0% (-)
Hiroshima Carp : 45% (▼ 22%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 53%
D : 0%
AWAY : 47%

Hometeam = 1.7 Trend:

HOME : 64%
D : 3%
AWAY : 33%

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