Minnesota Twins

4 - 2

Detroit Tigers

Minnesota Twins Make It 3 in a Row Against Detroit Tigers. Meanwhile, Detroit Tigers struggling to perform on the road, losing 6 consecutive games.

Tue, Apr 7, 2026 23:40 (UTC)


Facts

Minnesota Twins :
T. Bardley (SP, W, 2-0, 1.08) 6.1, 6H, 1R, 1ER, 10K
H: T. Rogers (2H, 3.60), C. Sands (2H, 2.25), E. Orze (3H, 1.93)
J. Topa (S, 5.06)
2B: Bell (4, Skubal); Caratini (1, Skubal); Jeffers (2, Skubal)
RBI: Bell (8), Jeffers 2 (2), Keaschall (6)
Detroit Tigers :
T. Skubal (SP, L, 1-2, 2.55) 4.2, 8H, 4R, 4ER, 2BB, 7K
2B: Báez (1, Orze); McKinstry (1, Bradley); McGonigle (5, Orze)
RBI: McGonigle 2 (7)
Tigers vs. Twins Game Highlights (4/7/26) | MLB Highlights
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 70%
D: 0%
Away: 30%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.82 - 2.22)
HOMETEAM: 55%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 45%

Minnesota Twins (Fact Index 1.82): Expected Win % is 55%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.

Detroit Tigers (Fact Index 2.22): Expected Win % is 45%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 50%
0%
AWAY : 50%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 46%
7%
Underdog : 47%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 4.5 - 4.5 (Model A.)
Minnesota Twins : 53% (▼ 2%)
0% (-)
Detroit Tigers : 47% (▲ 2%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Minnesota Twins | 0.400 | 0.490 | ▲ 0.090
T | Detroit Tigers | 0.400 | 0.532 | ▲ 0.132
H | Minnesota Twins | 0.500 | 0.525 | ▲ 0.025
A | Detroit Tigers | 0.286 | 0.437 | ▲ 0.151
P | Minnesota Twins | 0.500 | 0.514 | ▲ 0.014
P | Detroit Tigers | 0.333 | 0.500 | ▲ 0.167
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 5.4 - 4.6 (Model B.4)
Minnesota Twins : 61% (▲ 6%)
0% (-)
Detroit Tigers : 39% (▼ 6%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)


Average Odds : 2.4 - 1.6
Minnesota Twins : 39% (▼ 16%)
0% (-)
Detroit Tigers : 61% (▲ 16%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 60%
D : 0%
AWAY : 40%

Awayteam = 1.6 Trend:

HOME : 53%
D : 0%
AWAY : 47%

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