Inter-League

Toronto Blue Jays

1 - 5

Cincinnati Reds

Sat, Sep 26, 2026 19:07 (UTC)


FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 60%
D: 0%
Away: 40%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.75 - 2.33)
HOMETEAM: 57%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 43%

Weight: [Close] (17.24)
Intensity: [Extreme] (82.76)

Toronto Blue Jays (Fact Index 1.75):
Expected Win % is 57%, compared to a 63% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 60% in this event.

Cincinnati Reds (Fact Index 2.33):
Expected Win % is 43%, compared to a 37% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 40% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Toronto Blue Jays:
T : 0.484 (0.465 / ▲0.019)
H : 0.519 (0.460 / ▲0.059)
A : 0.451 (0.470 / ▼0.019)
P : 0.333 (0.442 / ▼0.109)

Cincinnati Reds:
T : 0.463 (0.405 / ▲0.058)
H : 0.469 (0.424 / ▲0.045)
A : 0.456 (0.387 / ▲0.069)
P : 0.333 (0.356 / ▼0.023)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 60%
0%
AWAY : 40%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 63%
0%
Underdog : 37%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 63%
0%
AWAY : 37%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 67%
0%
Underdog : 33%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 6.0 - 4.7 (Model A.)
Toronto Blue Jays : 58% (▲ 1%)
0% (-)
Cincinnati Reds : 42% (▼ 1%)

Expected Runs (xR) : 5.1 - 5.1 (Model B.4)
Toronto Blue Jays : 47% (▼ 10%)
0% (-)
Cincinnati Reds : 53% (▲ 10%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 81%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.6 - 2.3
Toronto Blue Jays : 59% (▲ 2%)
0% (-)
Cincinnati Reds : 41% (▼ 2%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 63%
D : 0%
AWAY : 37%

Based on Home team = 1.6 (59%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 57%
D : 0%
AWAY : 43%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 67%
D : 0%
AWAY : 33%

Based on Home team = 1.6 (59%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 63%
D : 0%
AWAY : 37%


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