Promotion

Chicago White Sox

5 - 9

ALDS - Game 4, Series tied 2-2

Cleveland Guardians

Home Ground Woes: 2nd Straight Loss for Chicago White Sox. Conversely, Cleveland Guardians confirms a run of 2 straight victories.

Fri, Oct 9, 2026 00:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 0%
Away: 50%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.82 - 2.22)
HOMETEAM: 55%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 45%

Weight: [Adjacent] (3.45)
Intensity: [Extreme] (96.55)

Chicago White Sox (Fact Index 1.82):
Expected Win % is 55%, compared to a 53% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 53% in this event.

Cleveland Guardians (Fact Index 2.22):
Expected Win % is 45%, compared to a 47% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 47% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Chicago White Sox:
T : 0.527 (0.536 / ▼0.009)
H : 0.585 (0.582 / ▲0.003)
A : 0.471 (0.493 / ▼0.022)
P : 0.833 (0.634 / ▲0.199)

Cleveland Guardians:
T : 0.521 (0.509 / ▲0.012)
H : 0.494 (0.479 / ▲0.015)
A : 0.549 (0.539 / ▲0.010)
P : 0.500 (0.640 / ▼0.140)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 53%
0%
AWAY : 47%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 56%
7%
Underdog : 37%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 53%
0%
AWAY : 47%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 56%
7%
Underdog : 37%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 4.2 - 4.8 (Model A.)
Chicago White Sox : 50% (▼ 5%)
0% (-)
Cleveland Guardians : 50% (▲ 5%)

Expected Runs (xR) : 4.9 - 3.8 (Model B.4)
Chicago White Sox : 66% (▲ 11%)
0% (-)
Cleveland Guardians : 34% (▼ 11%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 2.0 - 2.0
Chicago White Sox : 50% (▼ 5%)
0% (-)
Cleveland Guardians : 50% (▲ 5%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 37%
D : 0%
AWAY : 63%

Based on Home team 2.0 = 2.0 Awayteam = 50% Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 37%
D : 0%
AWAY : 63%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 50%
D : 3%
AWAY : 47%

Based on Home team 2.0 = 2.0 Awayteam = 50% Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 50%
D : 3%
AWAY : 47%


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