Inter-League

Milwaukee Brewers

6 - 2

Tampa Bay Rays

Tue, Mar 31, 2026 23:40 (UTC)


Facts

Milwaukee Brewers :
B. Woodruff (SP, W: 1-0, 3.60) 5.0, 4H, 2R, 2ER, 6K, 2HR
2B: Lockridge (1, Sulser)
HR: Sánchez (2, 6th inning off Sulser 0 on, 2 Out); Bauers (2, 8th inning off Gómez 0 on, 0 Out)
RBI: Sánchez (3), Bauers (4), Turang 2 (3), Lockridge (3)
SB: Bauers (2), Turang (2)
Tampa Bay Rays :
S. McClanahan (SP, L: 0-1, 3.86) 4.2, 2H, 3R, 2ER, 3BB, 4K
2B: Fraley (1, Koenig)
3B: Simpson (1, Anderson)
HR: Aranda (2, 1st inning off Woodruff 0 on, 1 Out); Fortes (1, 5th inning off Woodruff 0 on, 0 Out)
RBI: Aranda (5), Fortes (4)
SB: Simpson (2)
Rays vs. Brewers Game Highlights (3/31/26) | MLB Highlights
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 60%
D: 0%
Away: 40%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.69 - 2.44)
HOMETEAM: 59%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 41%

Milwaukee Brewers (Fact Index 1.69): Expected Win % is 59%, compared to a 60% actual win rate for identical index values.

Tampa Bay Rays (Fact Index 2.44): Expected Win % is 41%, compared to a 40% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 60%
0%
AWAY : 40%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 60%
0%
Underdog : 40%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 7.0 - 4.0 (Model A.)
Milwaukee Brewers : 66% (▲ 7%)
0% (-)
Tampa Bay Rays : 34% (▼ 7%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Milwaukee Brewers | 0.750 | 0.831 | ▲ 0.081
T | Tampa Bay Rays | 0.500 | 0.537 | ▲ 0.037
H | Milwaukee Brewers | 0.750 | 0.831 | ▲ 0.081
A | Tampa Bay Rays | 0.500 | 0.537 | ▲ 0.037
P | Milwaukee Brewers | 0.750 | 0.831 | ▲ 0.081
P | Tampa Bay Rays | 0.500 | 0.537 | ▲ 0.037
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 4.8 - 3.3 (Model B.4)
Milwaukee Brewers : 62% (▲ 3%)
0% (-)
Tampa Bay Rays : 38% (▼ 3%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)


Average Odds : 1.7 - 2.2
Milwaukee Brewers : 55% (▼ 4%)
0% (-)
Tampa Bay Rays : 45% (▲ 4%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 64%
D : 3%
AWAY : 33%

Hometeam = 1.7 Trend:

HOME : 57%
D : 0%
AWAY : 43%

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