Miami Marlins

6 - 4

LA Dodgers

Fortress: Miami Marlins Wins 2nd Straight at Home. However, LA Dodgers are stuck in a 2-game winless Rut.

Sun, Sep 13, 2026 17:40 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 0%
Away: 50%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.38 - 1.72)
HOMETEAM: 42%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 58%

Weight: [Gap Exists] (51.72)
Intensity: [Moderate] (48.28)

Miami Marlins (Fact Index 2.38):
Expected Win % is 42%, compared to a 57% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 57% in this event.

LA Dodgers (Fact Index 1.72):
Expected Win % is 58%, compared to a 43% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 43% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Miami Marlins:
T : 0.490 (0.503 / ▼0.013)
H : 0.571 (0.555 / ▲0.016)
A : 0.403 (0.452 / ▼0.049)
P : 0.333 (0.455 / ▼0.122)

LA Dodgers:
T : 0.608 (0.619 / ▼0.011)
H : 0.627 (0.556 / ▲0.071)
A : 0.589 (0.679 / ▼0.090)
P : 0.833 (0.820 / ▲0.013)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 57%
0%
AWAY : 43%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 53%
7%
Underdog : 40%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 57%
0%
AWAY : 43%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 53%
7%
Underdog : 40%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 4.4 - 6.4 (Model A.)
Miami Marlins : 40% (▼ 2%)
0% (-)
LA Dodgers : 60% (▲ 2%)

Expected Runs (xR) : 3.5 - 5.8 (Model B.4)
Miami Marlins : 24% (▼ 18%)
0% (-)
LA Dodgers : 76% (▲ 18%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 2.3 - 1.7
Miami Marlins : 42% (-)
0% (-)
LA Dodgers : 58% (-)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 53%
D : 0%
AWAY : 47%

Based on Away team = 1.7 (58%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 57%
D : 0%
AWAY : 43%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 57%
D : 3%
AWAY : 40%

Based on Away team = 1.7 (58%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 50%
D : 7%
AWAY : 43%


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