Yokohama Baystars

3 - 1

Chunichi Dragons

Yokohama Baystars secure 3rd consecutive victory against Chunichi Dragons. However, Chunichi Dragons Rut Deepens: 2 Games Without Win.

Tue, May 12, 2026 09:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 70%
D: 10%
Away: 20%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.75 - 2.50)
HOMETEAM: 57%
3%
AWAYTEAM: 40%

Yokohama Baystars (Fact Index 1.75): Expected Win % is 57%, compared to a 67% actual win rate for identical index values.

Chunichi Dragons (Fact Index 2.50): Expected Win % is 40%, compared to a 33% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 67%
0%
AWAY : 33%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 44%
0%
Underdog : 56%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 4.5 - 5.0 (Model A.)
Yokohama Baystars : 52% (▼ 5%)
0% (▼ 3%)
Chunichi Dragons : 48% (▲ 8%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Yokohama Baystars | 0.500 | 0.506 | ▲ 0.006
T | Chunichi Dragons | 0.371 | 0.443 | ▲ 0.072
H | Yokohama Baystars | 0.500 | 0.439 | ▼ 0.061
A | Chunichi Dragons | 0.200 | 0.351 | ▲ 0.151
P | Yokohama Baystars | 0.600 | 0.516 | ▼ 0.084
P | Chunichi Dragons | 0.667 | 0.671 | ▲ 0.004
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 3.8 - 4.0 (Model B.4)
Yokohama Baystars : 48% (▼ 9%)
0% (▼ 3%)
Chunichi Dragons : 52% (▲ 12%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)


Average Odds : 1.7 - 2.2
Yokohama Baystars : 57% (-)
0% (▼ 3%)
Chunichi Dragons : 43% (▲ 3%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 60%
D : 0%
AWAY : 40%

Hometeam = 1.7 Trend:

HOME : 64%
D : 3%
AWAY : 33%

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