Promotion

New York Yankees

9 - 2

ALWC - Game 2, NYY win series 2-0

Boston Red Sox

New York Yankees: 4 Straight Wins Over Boston Red Sox. Conversely, Boston Red Sox Road Trip Hell: 4th Straight Away Loss.

Thu, Oct 1, 2026 00:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 0%
Away: 50%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.75 - 2.33)
HOMETEAM: 57%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 43%

Weight: [Close] (13.79)
Intensity: [Extreme] (86.21)

New York Yankees (Fact Index 1.75):
Expected Win % is 57%, compared to a 57% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 57% in this event.

Boston Red Sox (Fact Index 2.33):
Expected Win % is 43%, compared to a 43% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 43% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

New York Yankees:
T : 0.580 (0.599 / ▼0.019)
H : 0.580 (0.585 / ▼0.005)
A : 0.580 (0.614 / ▼0.034)
P : 0.667 (0.624 / ▲0.043)

Boston Red Sox:
T : 0.534 (0.550 / ▼0.016)
H : 0.506 (0.544 / ▼0.038)
A : 0.561 (0.555 / ▲0.006)
P : 0.500 (0.203 / ▲0.297)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 57%
0%
AWAY : 43%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 63%
0%
Underdog : 37%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 57%
0%
AWAY : 43%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 63%
0%
Underdog : 37%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 5.1 - 2.9 (Model A.)
New York Yankees : 63% (▲ 6%)
0% (-)
Boston Red Sox : 37% (▼ 6%)

Expected Runs (xR) : 5.3 - 2.2 (Model B.4)
New York Yankees : 69% (▲ 12%)
0% (-)
Boston Red Sox : 31% (▼ 12%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.7 - 2.1
New York Yankees : 55% (▼ 2%)
0% (-)
Boston Red Sox : 45% (▲ 2%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 53%
D : 0%
AWAY : 47%

Based on Home team = 1.7 (55%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 53%
D : 0%
AWAY : 47%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 67%
D : 0%
AWAY : 33%

Based on Home team = 1.7 (55%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 57%
D : 0%
AWAY : 43%


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