Nippon Ham Fighters

9 - 10

Orix Buffaloes

Sat, May 2, 2026 05:00 (UTC)


FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 0%
Away: 50%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.04 - 1.96)
HOMETEAM: 49%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 51%

Nippon Ham Fighters (Fact Index 2.04): Expected Win % is 49%, compared to a 37% actual win rate for identical index values.

Orix Buffaloes (Fact Index 1.96): Expected Win % is 51%, compared to a 63% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 37%
0%
AWAY : 63%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 53%
7%
Underdog : 40%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 5.0 - 6.5 (Model A.)
Nippon Ham Fighters : 44% (▼ 5%)
0% (-)
Orix Buffaloes : 56% (▲ 5%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Nippon Ham Fighters | 0.467 | 0.507 | ▲ 0.040
T | Orix Buffaloes | 0.607 | 0.496 | ▼ 0.111
H | Nippon Ham Fighters | 0.600 | 0.615 | ▲ 0.015
A | Orix Buffaloes | 0.357 | 0.328 | ▼ 0.029
P | Nippon Ham Fighters | 0.500 | 0.399 | ▼ 0.101
P | Orix Buffaloes | 0.667 | 0.481 | ▼ 0.186
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 3.8 - 3.3 (Model B.4)
Nippon Ham Fighters : 59% (▲ 10%)
0% (-)
Orix Buffaloes : 41% (▼ 10%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)


Average Odds : 1.9 - 1.9
Nippon Ham Fighters : 50% (▲ 1%)
0% (-)
Orix Buffaloes : 50% (▼ 1%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 57%
D : 0%
AWAY : 43%

Hometeam 1.9 = 1.9 Awayteam Trend:

HOME : 47%
D : 0%
AWAY : 53%

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