Inter-League

Houston Astros

11 - 9

Pittsburgh Pirates

Thu, Jun 4, 2026 00:10 (UTC)


FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 0%
Away: 50%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.17 - 1.85)
HOMETEAM: 46%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 54%

Houston Astros (Fact Index 2.17): Expected Win % is 46%, compared to a 67% actual win rate for identical index values.

Pittsburgh Pirates (Fact Index 1.85): Expected Win % is 54%, compared to a 30% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 67%
3%
AWAY : 30%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 53%
10%
Underdog : 37%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 4.5 - 5.0 (Model A.)
Houston Astros : 47% (▲ 1%)
0% (-)
Pittsburgh Pirates : 53% (▼ 1%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Houston Astros | 0.435 | 0.443 | ▲ 0.008
T | Pittsburgh Pirates | 0.541 | 0.554 | ▲ 0.013
H | Houston Astros | 0.433 | 0.390 | ▼ 0.043
A | Pittsburgh Pirates | 0.536 | 0.546 | ▲ 0.010
P | Houston Astros | 0.500 | 0.589 | ▲ 0.089
P | Pittsburgh Pirates | 0.667 | 0.511 | ▼ 0.156
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 4.5 - 5.1 (Model B.4)
Houston Astros : 46% (-)
0% (-)
Pittsburgh Pirates : 54% (-)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)


Average Odds : 2.3 - 1.6
Houston Astros : 42% (▼ 4%)
0% (-)
Pittsburgh Pirates : 58% (▲ 4%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 40%
D : 0%
AWAY : 60%

Awayteam = 1.6 Trend:

HOME : 37%
D : 0%
AWAY : 63%

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