Chunichi Dragons

6 - 2

Hiroshima Carp

Chunichi Dragons keep rolling with 2 straight wins vs Hiroshima Carp.

Fri, May 22, 2026 09:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 30%
D: 0%
Away: 70%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.56 - 1.75)
HOMETEAM: 39%
4%
AWAYTEAM: 57%

Chunichi Dragons (Fact Index 2.56): Expected Win % is 39%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.

Hiroshima Carp (Fact Index 1.75): Expected Win % is 57%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 50%
0%
AWAY : 50%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 75%
0%
Underdog : 25%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 4.0 - 5.0 (Model A.)
Chunichi Dragons : 41% (▲ 2%)
0% (▼ 4%)
Hiroshima Carp : 59% (▲ 2%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Chunichi Dragons | 0.333 | 0.427 | ▲ 0.094
T | Hiroshima Carp | 0.410 | 0.467 | ▲ 0.057
H | Chunichi Dragons | 0.478 | 0.516 | ▲ 0.038
A | Hiroshima Carp | 0.353 | 0.520 | ▲ 0.167
P | Chunichi Dragons | 0.200 | 0.462 | ▲ 0.262
P | Hiroshima Carp | 0.667 | 0.662 | ▼ 0.005
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 2.4 - 3.1 (Model B.4)
Chunichi Dragons : 44% (▲ 5%)
0% (▼ 4%)
Hiroshima Carp : 56% (▼ 1%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)


Average Odds : 2.0 - 1.8
Chunichi Dragons : 47% (▲ 8%)
0% (▼ 4%)
Hiroshima Carp : 53% (▼ 4%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 60%
D : 3%
AWAY : 37%

Awayteam = 1.8 Trend:

HOME : 50%
D : 0%
AWAY : 50%

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