Houston Astros

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Boston Red Sox

Houston Astros turns their stadium into a fortress with 4 straight home wins. However, Boston Red Sox Reeling: 4th Consecutive Loss.

Wed, Apr 1, 2026 00:10 (UTC)


Facts

Houston Astros :
H. Brown (SP, W: 1-0, 0.84) 6.0, 1H, 1R, 1ER, 2BB, 8K
C. Bolton (S: 1, 3.00) 3.0, 3H, 1R, 1ER, 1BB, 5K, 1HR
2B: Correa (1, Bello); Walker (5, Bello); Alvarez (2, Bello)
HR: Alvarez (3, 5th inning off Bello 0 on, 1 Out); Smith (1, 7th inning off Morán 0 on, 0 Out)
RBI: Correa 2 (4), Walker 2 (6), Alvarez 2 (6), Loperfido (1), Smith (1)
SB: Loperfido (1)
Boston Red Sox :
B. Bello (SP, L: 0-1, 9.64) 4.2, 8H, 6R, 5ER, 3BB, 2K, 1HR
2B: Wong (2, Brown)
HR: Rafaela (1, 8th inning off Bolton 0 on, 1 Out)
RBI: Wong (1), Rafaela (2)
Red Sox vs. Astros Game Highlights (3/31/26) | MLB Highlights
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 0%
Away: 50%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.59 - 2.70)
HOMETEAM: 63%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 37%

Houston Astros (Fact Index 1.59): Expected Win % is 63%, compared to a 60% actual win rate for identical index values.

Boston Red Sox (Fact Index 2.70): Expected Win % is 37%, compared to a 40% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 60%
0%
AWAY : 40%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 53%
0%
Underdog : 47%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 5.0 - 5.0 (Model A.)
Houston Astros : 56% (▼ 7%)
0% (-)
Boston Red Sox : 44% (▲ 7%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Houston Astros | 0.600 | 0.565 | ▼ 0.035
T | Boston Red Sox | 0.250 | 0.311 | ▲ 0.061
H | Houston Astros | 0.600 | 0.565 | ▼ 0.035
A | Boston Red Sox | 0.250 | 0.311 | ▲ 0.061
P | Houston Astros | 0.600 | 0.565 | ▼ 0.035
P | Boston Red Sox | 0.250 | 0.311 | ▲ 0.061
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 4.1 - 5.1 (Model B.4)
Houston Astros : 46% (▼ 17%)
0% (-)
Boston Red Sox : 54% (▲ 17%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 90.5%)


Average Odds : 1.7 - 2.3
Houston Astros : 57% (▼ 6%)
0% (-)
Boston Red Sox : 43% (▲ 6%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 60%
D : 0%
AWAY : 40%

Hometeam = 1.7 Trend:

HOME : 47%
D : 0%
AWAY : 53%

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