Inter-League

Yakult Swallows

2 - 5

Chiba Lotte Marines

Thu, Jun 4, 2026 09:00 (UTC)


FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 20%
D: 20%
Away: 60%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.92 - 2.13)
HOMETEAM: 52%
1%
AWAYTEAM: 47%

Yakult Swallows (Fact Index 1.92): Expected Win % is 52%, compared to a 67% actual win rate for identical index values.

Chiba Lotte Marines (Fact Index 2.13): Expected Win % is 47%, compared to a 33% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 67%
0%
AWAY : 33%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 67%
0%
Underdog : 33%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 3.5 - 4.5 (Model A.)
Yakult Swallows : 46% (▼ 6%)
0% (▼ 1%)
Chiba Lotte Marines : 54% (▲ 7%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Yakult Swallows | 0.604 | 0.518 | ▼ 0.086
T | Chiba Lotte Marines | 0.481 | 0.451 | ▼ 0.030
H | Yakult Swallows | 0.583 | 0.448 | ▼ 0.135
A | Chiba Lotte Marines | 0.414 | 0.355 | ▼ 0.059
P | Yakult Swallows | 0.667 | 0.390 | ▼ 0.277
P | Chiba Lotte Marines | 0.500 | 0.711 | ▲ 0.211
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 2.4 - 3.2 (Model B.4)
Yakult Swallows : 39% (▼ 13%)
0% (▼ 1%)
Chiba Lotte Marines : 61% (▲ 14%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 95.2%)


Average Odds : 1.8 - 2.1
Yakult Swallows : 54% (▲ 2%)
0% (▼ 1%)
Chiba Lotte Marines : 46% (▼ 1%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 53%
D : 0%
AWAY : 47%

Hometeam = 1.8 Trend:

HOME : 47%
D : 0%
AWAY : 53%

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