Arizona Diamondbacks

4 - 9

San Diego Padres

Wed, Aug 5, 2026 01:40 (UTC)


FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 0%
Away: 50%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.72 - 2.38)
HOMETEAM: 58%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 42%

Weight: [Adjacent] (6.90)
Intensity: [Extreme] (93.10)

Arizona Diamondbacks (Fact Index 1.72):
Expected Win % is 58%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 50% in this event.

San Diego Padres (Fact Index 2.38):
Expected Win % is 42%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 50% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Arizona Diamondbacks:
T : 0.531 (0.505 / ▲0.026)
H : 0.593 (0.529 / ▲0.064)
A : 0.475 (0.482 / ▼0.007)
P : 0.833 (0.665 / ▲0.168)

San Diego Padres:
T : 0.513 (0.487 / ▲0.026)
H : 0.561 (0.486 / ▲0.075)
A : 0.464 (0.488 / ▼0.024)
P : 0.667 (0.623 / ▲0.044)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 50%
0%
AWAY : 50%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 50%
3%
Underdog : 47%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 50%
0%
AWAY : 50%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 50%
3%
Underdog : 47%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 5.6 - 5.2 (Model A.)
Arizona Diamondbacks : 54% (▼ 4%)
0% (-)
San Diego Padres : 46% (▲ 4%)

Expected Runs (xR) : 4.9 - 4.8 (Model B.4)
Arizona Diamondbacks : 52% (▼ 6%)
0% (-)
San Diego Padres : 48% (▲ 6%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.8 - 2.1
Arizona Diamondbacks : 54% (▼ 4%)
0% (-)
San Diego Padres : 45% (▲ 3%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 37%
D : 0%
AWAY : 63%

Based on Home team = 1.8 (54%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 40%
D : 0%
AWAY : 60%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 40%
D : 0%
AWAY : 60%

Based on Home team = 1.8 (54%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 47%
D : 0%
AWAY : 53%


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