Minnesota Twins

5 - 4

Extra innings / 13

New York Yankees

Wed, Sep 16, 2026 17:40 (UTC)


FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 0%
Away: 50%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.86 - 1.54)
HOMETEAM: 35%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 65%

Weight: [Gap Exists] (58.62)
Intensity: [Moderate] (41.38)

Minnesota Twins (Fact Index 2.86):
Expected Win % is 35%, compared to a 33% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 27% in this event.

New York Yankees (Fact Index 1.54):
Expected Win % is 65%, compared to a 67% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 73% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Minnesota Twins:
T : 0.464 (0.451 / ▲0.013)
H : 0.506 (0.487 / ▲0.019)
A : 0.419 (0.417 / ▲0.002)
P : 0.167 (0.128 / ▲0.039)

New York Yankees:
T : 0.583 (0.599 / ▼0.016)
H : 0.568 (0.579 / ▼0.011)
A : 0.597 (0.621 / ▼0.024)
P : 0.833 (0.694 / ▲0.139)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 27%
0%
AWAY : 73%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 67%
3%
Underdog : 30%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 33%
0%
AWAY : 67%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 64%
3%
Underdog : 33%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 5.1 - 5.4 (Model A.)
Minnesota Twins : 41% (▲ 6%)
0% (-)
New York Yankees : 59% (▼ 6%)

Expected Runs (xR) : 3.4 - 6.0 (Model B.4)
Minnesota Twins : 23% (▼ 12%)
0% (-)
New York Yankees : 77% (▲ 12%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 2.2 - 1.7
Minnesota Twins : 42% (▲ 7%)
0% (-)
New York Yankees : 57% (▼ 8%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 53%
D : 0%
AWAY : 47%

Based on Away team = 1.7 (57%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 53%
D : 0%
AWAY : 47%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 50%
D : 0%
AWAY : 50%

Based on Away team = 1.7 (57%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 37%
D : 0%
AWAY : 63%


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