LA Angels

8 - 7

EXT / 11

Seattle Mariners

Fortress: LA Angels Wins 2nd Straight at Home. Meanwhile, Seattle Mariners is battling through a 2-match win drought.

Sun, Apr 5, 2026 20:07 (UTC)


Facts

LA Angels :
G. Klassen (SP, 6.75) 2.2, 3H, 2R, 2ER, 5BB, 4K
B. Suter (B, 3.68), S. Bachman (B, 1.59),
S. Anderson (W, 1-0, 1.80) 2.0, 1H, 1R, 0ER, 1BB, 1K
2B: Trout (1, Castillo); Candelario (2, Ferrer); Frazier (1, Legumina); Neto (2, Castillo)
RBI: Soler 2 (8), Frazier (1), Adell (3), O'Hoppe (3), Neto (5), Schanuel 2 (7)
Seattle Mariners :
L. Castillo (SP, 2.79) 3.2, 6H, 4R, 3ER, 1BB, 4K
M. Brash (B, 0.00),
G. Speier (L, 0-2, 4.50) 0.2, 1R, 1BB
2B: Raley (1, Klassen); Raleigh (2, Bachman)
HR: Young (2, 5th inning off Suter 2 on, 2 Out)
RBI: Arozarena (3), Rivas 2 (3), Rodríguez (2), Young 3 (8)
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 40%
D: 0%
Away: 60%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.50 - 1.67)
HOMETEAM: 40%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 60%

LA Angels (Fact Index 2.50): Expected Win % is 40%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.

Seattle Mariners (Fact Index 1.67): Expected Win % is 60%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 50%
0%
AWAY : 50%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 50%
0%
Underdog : 50%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 3.5 - 5.5 (Model A.)
LA Angels : 33% (▼ 7%)
0% (-)
Seattle Mariners : 67% (▲ 7%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | LA Angels | 0.444 | 0.436 | ▼ 0.008
T | Seattle Mariners | 0.444 | 0.565 | ▲ 0.121
P | LA Angels | 0.333 | 0.282 | ▼ 0.051
P | Seattle Mariners | 0.500 | 0.594 | ▲ 0.094
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 2.9 - 4.7 (Model B.4)
LA Angels : 36% (▼ 4%)
0% (-)
Seattle Mariners : 64% (▲ 4%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)


Average Odds : 2.4 - 1.6
LA Angels : 40% (-)
0% (-)
Seattle Mariners : 60% (-)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 43%
D : 0%
AWAY : 57%

Awayteam = 1.6 Trend:

HOME : 53%
D : 0%
AWAY : 47%

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