Atlanta Braves

4 - 9

Philadelphia Phillies

Sun, Sep 13, 2026 17:35 (UTC)


FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 60%
D: 0%
Away: 40%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.72 - 2.38)
HOMETEAM: 58%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 42%

Weight: [Close] (10.34)
Intensity: [Extreme] (89.66)

Atlanta Braves (Fact Index 1.72):
Expected Win % is 58%, compared to a 47% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 47% in this event.

Philadelphia Phillies (Fact Index 2.38):
Expected Win % is 42%, compared to a 53% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 53% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Atlanta Braves:
T : 0.591 (0.587 / ▲0.004)
H : 0.662 (0.608 / ▲0.054)
A : 0.514 (0.563 / ▼0.049)
P : 0.500 (0.519 / ▼0.019)

Philadelphia Phillies:
T : 0.544 (0.517 / ▲0.027)
H : 0.547 (0.535 / ▲0.012)
A : 0.541 (0.495 / ▲0.046)
P : 0.333 (0.376 / ▼0.043)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 47%
0%
AWAY : 53%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 47%
3%
Underdog : 50%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 47%
0%
AWAY : 53%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 47%
3%
Underdog : 50%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 3.5 - 3.9 (Model A.)
Atlanta Braves : 51% (▼ 7%)
0% (-)
Philadelphia Phillies : 49% (▲ 7%)

Expected Runs (xR) : 4.6 - 4.0 (Model B.4)
Atlanta Braves : 54% (▼ 4%)
0% (-)
Philadelphia Phillies : 46% (▲ 4%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.8 - 2.1
Atlanta Braves : 54% (▼ 4%)
0% (-)
Philadelphia Phillies : 46% (▲ 4%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 57%
D : 0%
AWAY : 43%

Based on Home team = 1.8 (54%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 63%
D : 0%
AWAY : 37%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 47%
D : 3%
AWAY : 50%

Based on Home team = 1.8 (54%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 50%
D : 3%
AWAY : 47%


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