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Cleveland Guardians

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ALDS - Game 1, CHW lead series 1-0

Chicago White Sox

Cleveland Guardians are stuck in a 2-game winless Rut. However, Chicago White Sox Secures 4th Straight: The Streak Continues.

Sat, Oct 3, 2026 17:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 0%
Away: 50%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.04 - 1.96)
HOMETEAM: 49%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 51%

Weight: [Adjacent] (3.45)
Intensity: [Extreme] (96.55)

Cleveland Guardians (Fact Index 2.04):
Expected Win % is 49%, compared to a 43% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 53% in this event.

Chicago White Sox (Fact Index 1.96):
Expected Win % is 51%, compared to a 54% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 47% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Cleveland Guardians:
T : 0.525 (0.507 / ▲0.018)
H : 0.506 (0.484 / ▲0.022)
A : 0.543 (0.532 / ▲0.011)
P : 0.667 (0.664 / ▲0.003)

Chicago White Sox:
T : 0.524 (0.538 / ▼0.014)
H : 0.593 (0.591 / ▲0.002)
A : 0.458 (0.488 / ▼0.030)
P : 0.833 (0.780 / ▲0.053)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 53%
0%
AWAY : 47%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 60%
0%
Underdog : 40%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 43%
3%
AWAY : 54%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 57%
3%
Underdog : 40%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 4.4 - 5.0 (Model A.)
Cleveland Guardians : 47% (▼ 2%)
0% (-)
Chicago White Sox : 53% (▲ 2%)

Expected Runs (xR) : 4.3 - 5.4 (Model B.4)
Cleveland Guardians : 37% (▼ 12%)
0% (-)
Chicago White Sox : 63% (▲ 12%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.6 - 2.3
Cleveland Guardians : 58% (▲ 9%)
0% (-)
Chicago White Sox : 42% (▼ 9%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 63%
D : 0%
AWAY : 37%

Based on Home team = 1.6 (58%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 60%
D : 0%
AWAY : 40%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 70%
D : 0%
AWAY : 30%

Based on Home team = 1.6 (58%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 70%
D : 0%
AWAY : 30%


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