Hiroshima Carp

1 - 4

Yakult Swallows

Hiroshima Carp still searching for answers after 3 consecutive defeats to Yakult Swallows. However, Yakult Swallows seals their 2nd win on the bounce.

Fri, May 8, 2026 09:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 20%
D: 0%
Away: 80%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.86 - 1.61)
HOMETEAM: 35%
3%
AWAYTEAM: 62%

Hiroshima Carp (Fact Index 2.86): Expected Win % is 35%, compared to a 29% actual win rate for identical index values.

Yakult Swallows (Fact Index 1.61): Expected Win % is 62%, compared to a 71% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 29%
0%
AWAY : 71%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 72%
14%
Underdog : 14%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 3.0 - 4.0 (Model A.)
Hiroshima Carp : 38% (▲ 3%)
0% (▼ 3%)
Yakult Swallows : 62% (-)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Hiroshima Carp | 0.393 | 0.472 | ▲ 0.079
T | Yakult Swallows | 0.618 | 0.552 | ▼ 0.066
H | Hiroshima Carp | 0.438 | 0.371 | ▼ 0.067
A | Yakult Swallows | 0.556 | 0.539 | ▼ 0.017
P | Hiroshima Carp | 0.600 | 0.624 | ▲ 0.024
P | Yakult Swallows | 0.667 | 0.645 | ▼ 0.022
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 2.8 - 3.6 (Model B.4)
Hiroshima Carp : 38% (▲ 3%)
0% (▼ 3%)
Yakult Swallows : 62% (-)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)


Average Odds : 1.9 - 1.9
Hiroshima Carp : 50% (▲ 15%)
0% (▼ 3%)
Yakult Swallows : 50% (▼ 12%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 67%
D : 0%
AWAY : 33%

Hometeam 1.9 = 1.9 Awayteam Trend:

HOME : 47%
D : 0%
AWAY : 53%

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