Inter-League

Boston Red Sox

3 - 2

Milwaukee Brewers

Tue, Apr 7, 2026 22:45 (UTC)


Facts

Boston Red Sox :
G. Crochet (SP, W, 2-1, 3.12) 6.1, 5H, 2R, 2ER, 2BB, 7K
H: Z. Kelly (1, 3.38), G. Whitlock (2, 1.80)
A. Chapman (3S, 1.80)
2B: Story (2, Hall)
RBI: Story 2 (6), Durbin (2)
Milwaukee Brewers :
J. Misiorowski (SP, L, 1-1, 3.31) 5.1, 2H, 3R, 3ER, 4BB, 10K
RBI: Yelich (10), Hamilton (3)
ALL 10 STRIKEOUTS from Brewers flamethrower Jacob Misiorowski! 😤 | MLB Highlights
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 40%
D: 0%
Away: 60%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (5.00 - 1.25)
HOMETEAM: 20%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 80%

Boston Red Sox (Fact Index 5.00): Expected Win % is 20%, compared to a 69% actual win rate for identical index values.

Milwaukee Brewers (Fact Index 1.25): Expected Win % is 80%, compared to a 31% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 69%
0%
AWAY : 31%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 100%
0%
Underdog : 0%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 4.5 - 4.5 (Model A.)
Boston Red Sox : 37% (▲ 17%)
0% (-)
Milwaukee Brewers : 63% (▼ 17%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Boston Red Sox | 0.200 | 0.330 | ▲ 0.130
T | Milwaukee Brewers | 0.800 | 0.744 | ▼ 0.056
H | Boston Red Sox | 0.250 | 0.454 | ▲ 0.204
A | Milwaukee Brewers | 0.750 | 0.542 | ▼ 0.208
P | Boston Red Sox | 0.167 | 0.339 | ▲ 0.172
P | Milwaukee Brewers | 0.833 | 0.672 | ▼ 0.161
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 3.3 - 5.5 (Model B.4)
Boston Red Sox : 23% (▲ 3%)
0% (-)
Milwaukee Brewers : 77% (▼ 3%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)


Average Odds : 1.7 - 2.3
Boston Red Sox : 58% (▲ 38%)
0% (-)
Milwaukee Brewers : 42% (▼ 38%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 53%
D : 0%
AWAY : 47%

Hometeam = 1.7 Trend:

HOME : 57%
D : 0%
AWAY : 43%

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