Orix Buffaloes

9 - 4

Nippon Ham Fighters

Home Sweet Home: Orix Buffaloes Secures 11th Consecutive Victory. However, Nippon Ham Fighters road woes intensify with a 5th straight away loss.

Sun, Apr 26, 2026 04:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 0%
Away: 50%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.67 - 2.50)
HOMETEAM: 60%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 40%

Orix Buffaloes (Fact Index 1.67): Expected Win % is 60%, compared to a 70% actual win rate for identical index values.

Nippon Ham Fighters (Fact Index 2.50): Expected Win % is 40%, compared to a 30% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 70%
0%
AWAY : 30%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 67%
3%
Underdog : 30%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 5.0 - 4.0 (Model A.)
Orix Buffaloes : 60% (-)
0% (-)
Nippon Ham Fighters : 40% (-)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Orix Buffaloes | 0.625 | 0.515 | ▼ 0.110
T | Nippon Ham Fighters | 0.440 | 0.517 | ▲ 0.077
H | Orix Buffaloes | 0.909 | 0.774 | ▼ 0.135
A | Nippon Ham Fighters | 0.273 | 0.392 | ▲ 0.119
P | Orix Buffaloes | 0.667 | 0.426 | ▼ 0.241
P | Nippon Ham Fighters | 0.333 | 0.261 | ▼ 0.072
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 4.0 - 3.8 (Model B.4)
Orix Buffaloes : 52% (▼ 8%)
0% (-)
Nippon Ham Fighters : 48% (▲ 8%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)


Average Odds : 2.0 - 1.9
Orix Buffaloes : 49% (▼ 11%)
0% (-)
Nippon Ham Fighters : 51% (▲ 11%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 50%
D : 0%
AWAY : 50%

Awayteam = 1.9 Trend:

HOME : 47%
D : 0%
AWAY : 53%

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