Seibu Lions

3 - 2

Chiba Lotte Marines

Home Sweet Home: Seibu Lions Secures 5th Consecutive Victory. Conversely, Away Nightmare Continues for Winless Chiba Lotte Marines.

Tue, May 19, 2026 09:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 60%
D: 0%
Away: 40%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.64 - 2.63)
HOMETEAM: 61%
1%
AWAYTEAM: 38%

Seibu Lions (Fact Index 1.64): Expected Win % is 61%, compared to a 42% actual win rate for identical index values.

Chiba Lotte Marines (Fact Index 2.63): Expected Win % is 38%, compared to a 58% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 42%
0%
AWAY : 58%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 42%
0%
Underdog : 58%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 6.0 - 3.0 (Model A.)
Seibu Lions : 71% (▲ 10%)
0% (▼ 1%)
Chiba Lotte Marines : 29% (▼ 9%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Seibu Lions | 0.571 | 0.580 | ▲ 0.009
T | Chiba Lotte Marines | 0.439 | 0.407 | ▼ 0.032
H | Seibu Lions | 0.550 | 0.627 | ▲ 0.077
A | Chiba Lotte Marines | 0.263 | 0.230 | ▼ 0.033
P | Seibu Lions | 0.833 | 0.832 | ▼ 0.001
P | Chiba Lotte Marines | 0.667 | 0.574 | ▼ 0.093
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 3.8 - 3.2 (Model B.4)
Seibu Lions : 59% (▼ 2%)
0% (▼ 1%)
Chiba Lotte Marines : 41% (▲ 3%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)


Average Odds : 1.7 - 2.2
Seibu Lions : 56% (▼ 5%)
0% (▼ 1%)
Chiba Lotte Marines : 44% (▲ 6%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 57%
D : 3%
AWAY : 40%

Hometeam = 1.7 Trend:

HOME : 57%
D : 3%
AWAY : 40%

© 2020 - 2026 | Waveflow SportsLab | Terms of Use · Privacy Policy | All Rights Reserved.

©2026 Waveflow SportsLab
Terms of Use | Privacy Policy