Houston Astros

6 - 4

Boston Red Sox

Houston Astros dominates at home, making it 5 consecutive home victories. Conversely, Losing Skid Hits 5 for Struggling Boston Red Sox.

Wed, Apr 1, 2026 18:10 (UTC)


Facts

Houston Astros :
M. Burrows (SP, W: 1-1, 5.91) 5.0, 5H, 2R, 2ER, 2BB, 6K
A. Blubaugh (H, 1, 1.69), B. King (H, 1, 2.45)
B. Abreu (S: 1, 19.29) 1.0, 1H, 1R, 1ER, 3K, 1HR
2B: Alvarez (3, Crochet); Paredes (4, Crochet)
HR: Vázquez (1, 7th inning off Coulombe 0 on, 0 Out); Correa (1, 5th inning off Crochet 2 on, 2 Out)
RBI: Vázquez (3), Correa 3 (7), Walker (7), Paredes (5)
Boston Red Sox :
G. Crochet (SP, L: 1-1, 3.27) 5.0, 6H, 5R, 4ER, 7K, 1HR
2B: Wong (3, Burrows)
HR: Abreu (3, 8th inning off Teng 0 on, 1 Out); Anthony (1, 9th inning off Abreu 0 on, 0 Out)
RBI: Contreras (1), Duran (2), Abreu (6), Anthony (2)
Red Sox vs. Astros Game Highlights (4/1/26) | MLB Highlights
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 0%
Away: 50%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.41 - 3.45)
HOMETEAM: 71%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 29%

Houston Astros (Fact Index 1.41): Expected Win % is 71%, compared to a 63% actual win rate for identical index values.

Boston Red Sox (Fact Index 3.45): Expected Win % is 29%, compared to a 37% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 63%
0%
AWAY : 37%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 60%
3%
Underdog : 37%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 5.0 - 5.0 (Model A.)
Houston Astros : 60% (▼ 11%)
0% (-)
Boston Red Sox : 40% (▲ 11%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Houston Astros | 0.667 | 0.647 | ▼ 0.020
T | Boston Red Sox | 0.200 | 0.220 | ▲ 0.020
H | Houston Astros | 0.667 | 0.647 | ▼ 0.020
A | Boston Red Sox | 0.200 | 0.220 | ▲ 0.020
P | Houston Astros | 0.667 | 0.647 | ▼ 0.020
P | Boston Red Sox | 0.200 | 0.220 | ▲ 0.020
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 5.0 - 3.6 (Model B.4)
Houston Astros : 64% (▼ 7%)
0% (-)
Boston Red Sox : 36% (▲ 7%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 90.5%)


Average Odds : 2.3 - 1.7
Houston Astros : 42% (▼ 29%)
0% (-)
Boston Red Sox : 58% (▲ 29%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 50%
D : 0%
AWAY : 50%

Awayteam = 1.7 Trend:

HOME : 53%
D : 0%
AWAY : 47%

© 2020 - 2026 | Waveflow SportsLab | Terms of Use · Privacy Policy | All Rights Reserved.

©2026 Waveflow SportsLab
Terms of Use | Privacy Policy