Washington Nationals

3 - 7

Miami Marlins

Washington Nationals’s struggle continues: 4 straight losses to Miami Marlins. Conversely, Miami Marlins seals their 2nd win on the bounce.

Tue, Jun 2, 2026 22:45 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 30%
D: 0%
Away: 70%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.08 - 1.92)
HOMETEAM: 48%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 52%

Washington Nationals (Fact Index 2.08): Expected Win % is 48%, compared to a 57% actual win rate for identical index values.

Miami Marlins (Fact Index 1.92): Expected Win % is 52%, compared to a 40% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 57%
3%
AWAY : 40%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 53%
7%
Underdog : 40%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 6.0 - 4.0 (Model A.)
Washington Nationals : 60% (▲ 12%)
0% (-)
Miami Marlins : 40% (▼ 12%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Washington Nationals | 0.508 | 0.496 | ▼ 0.012
T | Miami Marlins | 0.443 | 0.458 | ▲ 0.015
H | Washington Nationals | 0.400 | 0.448 | ▲ 0.048
A | Miami Marlins | 0.321 | 0.355 | ▲ 0.034
P | Washington Nationals | 0.500 | 0.550 | ▲ 0.050
P | Miami Marlins | 0.167 | 0.203 | ▲ 0.036
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 5.1 - 4.5 (Model B.4)
Washington Nationals : 57% (▲ 9%)
0% (-)
Miami Marlins : 43% (▼ 9%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)


Average Odds : 1.9 - 1.9
Washington Nationals : 51% (▲ 3%)
0% (-)
Miami Marlins : 49% (▼ 3%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 57%
D : 0%
AWAY : 43%

Hometeam 1.9 = 1.9 Awayteam Trend:

HOME : 47%
D : 0%
AWAY : 53%

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