Cincinnati Reds

3 - 8

Pittsburgh Pirates

Tue, Mar 31, 2026 22:40 (UTC)


Facts

Cincinnati Reds :
B. Williamson (SP, L: 0-1, 11.57) 4.2, 6H, 6R, 6ER, 2BB, 3K, 3HR
HR: De La Cruz (2, 8th inning off Barco 0 on, 0 Out); Stewart (2, 8th inning off Barco 0 on, 0 Out)
RBI: De La Cruz (2), Stewart (3)
Pittsburgh Pirates :
B. Chandier (SP, 0.00) 4.1, 1R, 0ER, 6BB, 6K
Y. Ramirez (W: 1-0, 0.00) 0.2, 2K
HR: O'Hearn (2, 2nd inning off Williamson 2 on, 2 Out); Reynolds (1, 2nd inning off Williamson 0 on, 2 Out); Cruz 2 (2, 4th inning off Williamson 0 on, 0 Out, 9th inning off Johnson 1 on, 1 Out)
RBI: O'Hearn 3 (6), Reynolds (2), Cruz 3 (3), Yorke (1)
Pirates vs. Reds Game Highlights (3/31/26) | MLB Highlights
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 40%
D: 0%
Away: 60%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.37 - 3.70)
HOMETEAM: 73%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 27%

Cincinnati Reds (Fact Index 1.37): Expected Win % is 73%, compared to a 67% actual win rate for identical index values.

Pittsburgh Pirates (Fact Index 3.70): Expected Win % is 27%, compared to a 33% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 67%
0%
AWAY : 33%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 66%
0%
Underdog : 34%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 4.0 - 3.5 (Model A.)
Cincinnati Reds : 64% (▼ 9%)
0% (-)
Pittsburgh Pirates : 36% (▲ 9%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Cincinnati Reds | 0.750 | 0.543 | ▼ 0.207
T | Pittsburgh Pirates | 0.250 | 0.313 | ▲ 0.063
H | Cincinnati Reds | 0.750 | 0.543 | ▼ 0.207
A | Pittsburgh Pirates | 0.250 | 0.313 | ▲ 0.063
P | Cincinnati Reds | 0.750 | 0.543 | ▼ 0.207
P | Pittsburgh Pirates | 0.250 | 0.313 | ▲ 0.063
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 3.5 - 3.9 (Model B.4)
Cincinnati Reds : 46% (▼ 27%)
0% (-)
Pittsburgh Pirates : 54% (▲ 27%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)


Average Odds : 2.0 - 1.9
Cincinnati Reds : 49% (▼ 24%)
0% (-)
Pittsburgh Pirates : 51% (▲ 24%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 50%
D : 0%
AWAY : 50%

Awayteam = 1.9 Trend:

HOME : 43%
D : 0%
AWAY : 57%

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