Promotion

Cleveland Guardians

3 - 4

ALDS - Game 2, CHW lead series 2-0

Chicago White Sox

Cleveland Guardians are stuck in a 3-game winless Rut. However, Chicago White Sox seals their 5th win on the bounce.

Mon, Oct 5, 2026 21:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 0%
Away: 50%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.38 - 1.72)
HOMETEAM: 42%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 58%

Weight: [Adjacent] (3.45)
Intensity: [Extreme] (96.55)

Cleveland Guardians (Fact Index 2.38):
Expected Win % is 42%, compared to a 57% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 57% in this event.

Chicago White Sox (Fact Index 1.72):
Expected Win % is 58%, compared to a 43% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 43% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Cleveland Guardians:
T : 0.521 (0.505 / ▲0.016)
H : 0.500 (0.480 / ▲0.020)
A : 0.543 (0.532 / ▲0.011)
P : 0.500 (0.596 / ▼0.096)

Chicago White Sox:
T : 0.527 (0.540 / ▼0.013)
H : 0.593 (0.591 / ▲0.002)
A : 0.464 (0.492 / ▼0.028)
P : 0.833 (0.741 / ▲0.092)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 57%
0%
AWAY : 43%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 53%
7%
Underdog : 40%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 57%
0%
AWAY : 43%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 53%
7%
Underdog : 40%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 4.3 - 5.0 (Model A.)
Cleveland Guardians : 43% (▲ 1%)
0% (-)
Chicago White Sox : 57% (▼ 1%)

Expected Runs (xR) : 3.6 - 5.2 (Model B.4)
Cleveland Guardians : 31% (▼ 11%)
0% (-)
Chicago White Sox : 69% (▲ 11%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.8 - 2.2
Cleveland Guardians : 55% (▲ 13%)
0% (-)
Chicago White Sox : 45% (▼ 13%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 57%
D : 0%
AWAY : 43%

Based on Home team = 1.8 (55%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 57%
D : 0%
AWAY : 43%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 67%
D : 0%
AWAY : 33%

Based on Home team = 1.8 (55%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 57%
D : 0%
AWAY : 43%


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