Nippon Ham Fighters

3 - 15

Seibu Lions

Sun, Apr 19, 2026 04:00 (UTC)


FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 0%
Away: 50%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.72 - 2.44)
HOMETEAM: 58%
1%
AWAYTEAM: 41%

Nippon Ham Fighters (Fact Index 1.72): Expected Win % is 58%, compared to a 73% actual win rate for identical index values.

Seibu Lions (Fact Index 2.44): Expected Win % is 41%, compared to a 27% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 73%
0%
AWAY : 27%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 64%
9%
Underdog : 27%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 7.4 - 4.5 (Model A.)
Nippon Ham Fighters : 68% (▲ 10%)
0% (▼ 1%)
Seibu Lions : 32% (▼ 9%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Nippon Ham Fighters | 0.474 | 0.589 | ▲ 0.115
T | Seibu Lions | 0.368 | 0.299 | ▼ 0.069
H | Nippon Ham Fighters | 0.600 | 0.710 | ▲ 0.110
A | Seibu Lions | 0.364 | 0.260 | ▼ 0.104
P | Nippon Ham Fighters | 0.333 | 0.443 | ▲ 0.110
P | Seibu Lions | 0.333 | 0.246 | ▼ 0.087
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 5.0 - 3.7 (Model B.4)
Nippon Ham Fighters : 67% (▲ 9%)
0% (▼ 1%)
Seibu Lions : 33% (▼ 8%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)


Average Odds : 1.6 - 2.4
Nippon Ham Fighters : 60% (▲ 2%)
0% (▼ 1%)
Seibu Lions : 40% (▼ 1%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 50%
D : 0%
AWAY : 50%

Hometeam = 1.6 Trend:

HOME : 60%
D : 3%
AWAY : 37%

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