Double-Header

Baltimore Orioles

4 - 2

Doubleheader - Game 1

Toronto Blue Jays

Fortress: Baltimore Orioles Wins 2nd Straight at Home. Conversely, Toronto Blue Jays are stuck in a 2-game winless Rut.

Wed, Sep 23, 2026 17:35 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 60%
D: 0%
Away: 40%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.08 - 1.92)
HOMETEAM: 48%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 52%

Weight: [Adjacent] (6.90)
Intensity: [Extreme] (93.10)

Baltimore Orioles (Fact Index 2.08):
Expected Win % is 48%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 53% in this event.

Toronto Blue Jays (Fact Index 1.92):
Expected Win % is 52%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 47% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Baltimore Orioles:
T : 0.484 (0.479 / ▲0.005)
H : 0.468 (0.480 / ▼0.012)
A : 0.500 (0.479 / ▲0.021)
P : 0.500 (0.587 / ▼0.087)

Toronto Blue Jays:
T : 0.487 (0.467 / ▲0.020)
H : 0.513 (0.458 / ▲0.055)
A : 0.463 (0.475 / ▼0.012)
P : 0.333 (0.302 / ▲0.031)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 53%
0%
AWAY : 47%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 53%
10%
Underdog : 37%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 50%
0%
AWAY : 50%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 57%
10%
Underdog : 33%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 4.6 - 4.3 (Model A.)
Baltimore Orioles : 50% (▲ 2%)
0% (-)
Toronto Blue Jays : 50% (▼ 2%)

Expected Runs (xR) : 4.1 - 4.3 (Model B.4)
Baltimore Orioles : 48% (-)
0% (-)
Toronto Blue Jays : 52% (-)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.8 - 2.0
Baltimore Orioles : 52% (▲ 4%)
0% (-)
Toronto Blue Jays : 48% (▼ 4%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 50%
D : 0%
AWAY : 50%

Based on Home team = 1.8 (52%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 47%
D : 0%
AWAY : 53%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 53%
D : 0%
AWAY : 47%

Based on Home team = 1.8 (52%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 47%
D : 0%
AWAY : 53%


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