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Atlanta Braves

6 - 2

NLWC - Game 3, ATL wins series 2-1

Philadelphia Phillies

Fri, Oct 2, 2026 00:00 (UTC)


FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 60%
D: 0%
Away: 40%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.96 - 2.04)
HOMETEAM: 51%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 49%

Weight: [Close] (10.34)
Intensity: [Extreme] (89.66)

Atlanta Braves (Fact Index 1.96):
Expected Win % is 51%, compared to a 73% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 73% in this event.

Philadelphia Phillies (Fact Index 2.04):
Expected Win % is 49%, compared to a 27% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 27% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Atlanta Braves:
T : 0.579 (0.577 / ▲0.002)
H : 0.639 (0.591 / ▲0.048)
A : 0.519 (0.562 / ▼0.043)
P : 0.333 (0.500 / ▼0.167)

Philadelphia Phillies:
T : 0.543 (0.509 / ▲0.034)
H : 0.531 (0.516 / ▲0.015)
A : 0.554 (0.501 / ▲0.053)
P : 0.333 (0.240 / ▲0.093)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 73%
0%
AWAY : 27%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 46%
7%
Underdog : 47%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 73%
0%
AWAY : 27%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 46%
7%
Underdog : 47%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 4.3 - 4.2 (Model A.)
Atlanta Braves : 51% (-)
0% (-)
Philadelphia Phillies : 49% (-)

Expected Runs (xR) : 4.3 - 4.0 (Model B.4)
Atlanta Braves : 54% (▲ 3%)
0% (-)
Philadelphia Phillies : 46% (▼ 3%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.9 - 1.9
Atlanta Braves : 50% (▼ 1%)
0% (-)
Philadelphia Phillies : 51% (▲ 2%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 8 game(s)

HOME : 62%
D : 0%
AWAY : 38%

Based on Away team = 1.9 (51%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 53%
D : 0%
AWAY : 47%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 18 game(s)

HOME : 61%
D : 0%
AWAY : 39%

Based on Away team = 1.9 (51%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 43%
D : 0%
AWAY : 57%


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