Inter-League

New York Mets

1 - 2

Baltimore Orioles

New York Mets’s struggle continues: 3 straight losses to Baltimore Orioles.

Mon, Sep 14, 2026 23:10 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 30%
D: 0%
Away: 70%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.13 - 1.89)
HOMETEAM: 47%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 53%

Weight: [Close] (20.69)
Intensity: [Fierce] (79.31)

New York Mets (Fact Index 2.13):
Expected Win % is 47%, compared to a 40% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 40% in this event.

Baltimore Orioles (Fact Index 1.89):
Expected Win % is 53%, compared to a 60% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 60% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

New York Mets:
T : 0.463 (0.476 / ▼0.013)
H : 0.459 (0.462 / ▼0.003)
A : 0.467 (0.489 / ▼0.022)
P : 0.667 (0.656 / ▲0.011)

Baltimore Orioles:
T : 0.480 (0.475 / ▲0.005)
H : 0.480 (0.485 / ▼0.005)
A : 0.480 (0.467 / ▲0.013)
P : 0.500 (0.420 / ▲0.080)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 40%
0%
AWAY : 60%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 53%
7%
Underdog : 40%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 40%
0%
AWAY : 60%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 53%
7%
Underdog : 40%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 4.8 - 4.1 (Model A.)
New York Mets : 53% (▲ 6%)
0% (-)
Baltimore Orioles : 47% (▼ 6%)

Expected Runs (xR) : 7.3 - 5.6 (Model B.4)
New York Mets : 66% (▲ 19%)
0% (-)
Baltimore Orioles : 34% (▼ 19%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 71.4%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.8 - 2.0
New York Mets : 53% (▲ 6%)
0% (-)
Baltimore Orioles : 48% (▼ 5%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 22 game(s)

HOME : 50%
D : 0%
AWAY : 50%

Based on Home team = 1.8 (53%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 57%
D : 0%
AWAY : 43%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 43%
D : 3%
AWAY : 54%

Based on Home team = 1.8 (53%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 47%
D : 0%
AWAY : 53%


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