San Diego Padres

4 - 1

Arizona Diamondbacks

Wed, Jul 8, 2026 01:40 (UTC)


FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 70%
D: 0%
Away: 30%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.96 - 2.04)
HOMETEAM: 51%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 49%

San Diego Padres (Fact Index 1.96): Expected Win % is 51%, compared to a 43% actual win rate for identical index values.

Arizona Diamondbacks (Fact Index 2.04): Expected Win % is 49%, compared to a 57% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 43%
0%
AWAY : 57%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 43%
3%
Underdog : 54%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 4.5 - 5.0 (Model A.)
San Diego Padres : 48% (▼ 3%)
0% (-)
Arizona Diamondbacks : 52% (▲ 3%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | San Diego Padres | 0.489 | 0.439 | ▼ 0.050
T | Arizona Diamondbacks | 0.500 | 0.476 | ▼ 0.024
H | San Diego Padres | 0.511 | 0.433 | ▼ 0.078
A | Arizona Diamondbacks | 0.419 | 0.443 | ▲ 0.024
P | San Diego Padres | 0.167 | 0.125 | ▼ 0.042
P | Arizona Diamondbacks | 0.500 | 0.658 | ▲ 0.158
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 4.4 - 6.0 (Model B.4)
San Diego Padres : 40% (▼ 11%)
0% (-)
Arizona Diamondbacks : 60% (▲ 11%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)


Average Odds : 1.8 - 2.1
San Diego Padres : 54% (▲ 3%)
0% (-)
Arizona Diamondbacks : 46% (▼ 3%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 40%
D : 0%
AWAY : 60%

Hometeam = 1.8 Trend:

HOME : 57%
D : 0%
AWAY : 43%

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