Philadelphia Phillies

4 - 5

Arizona Diamondbacks

Philadelphia Phillies stuck in 3-game skid against Arizona Diamondbacks. Meanwhile, Arizona Diamondbacks on Fire: 3-Game Winning Streak.

Fri, Apr 10, 2026 22:40 (UTC)


Facts

Philadelphia Phillies :
J. Luzardo (SP, L, 1-2, 6.23) 4.2, 5H, 5R, 5ER, 3BB, 8K
2B: Harper (4, Soroka); Realmuto (2, Soroka)
3B: Crawford (1, Sewald)
HR: Marsh (2, 1st inning off Soroka 2 on, 0 Out)
Arizona Diamondbacks :
M. Soroka (SP, W, 3-0, 2.87) 5.2, 5H, 4R, 4ER, 2BB, 10K, 1HR
H: J. Loaisiga (3, 2.45), J. Morillo (5, 2.45)
P. Sewald (4S, 3.38)
2B: McCann (2, Luzardo)
RBI: McCann 2 (2), Marte 2 (6), Vargas (5)
D-backs vs. Phillies Game Highlights (4/10/26) | MLB Highlights
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 40%
D: 0%
Away: 60%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.00 - 2.00)
HOMETEAM: 50%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 50%

Due to a lack of data in the early stages of the competition, default index values may be applied. Please refer to each team's number of games played.

Philadelphia Phillies (Fact Index 2.00): Expected Win % is 50%, compared to a 57% actual win rate for identical index values.

Arizona Diamondbacks (Fact Index 2.00): Expected Win % is 50%, compared to a 43% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 57%
0%
AWAY : 43%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 43%
7%
Underdog : 50%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 5.5 - 6.5 (Model A.)
Philadelphia Phillies : 45% (▼ 5%)
0% (-)
Arizona Diamondbacks : 55% (▲ 5%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Philadelphia Phillies | 0.500 | 0.364 | ▼ 0.136
T | Arizona Diamondbacks | 0.538 | 0.442 | ▼ 0.096
H | Philadelphia Phillies | 0.500 | 0.306 | ▼ 0.194
A | Arizona Diamondbacks | 0.333 | 0.538 | ▲ 0.205
P | Philadelphia Phillies | 0.500 | 0.454 | ▼ 0.046
P | Arizona Diamondbacks | 0.667 | 0.718 | ▲ 0.051
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 3.8 - 4.2 (Model B.4)
Philadelphia Phillies : 45% (▼ 5%)
0% (-)
Arizona Diamondbacks : 55% (▲ 5%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)


Average Odds : 1.5 - 2.6
Philadelphia Phillies : 62% (▲ 12%)
0% (-)
Arizona Diamondbacks : 38% (▼ 12%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 60%
D : 0%
AWAY : 40%

Hometeam = 1.5 Trend:

HOME : 67%
D : 0%
AWAY : 33%

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