Chicago White Sox

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Tampa Bay Rays

Home Ground Woes: 6th Straight Loss for Chicago White Sox. Meanwhile, Tampa Bay Rays seals their 6th win on the bounce.

Thu, Apr 16, 2026 18:10 (UTC)


Facts

Chicago White Sox :
J. Leasure (SP, 3.48) 1.1
S. Newcomb (B, 4.38) 1.2, 1H, 3K
S. Dominguez (L, 1-2, B, 2, 7.50) 0.1, 2H, 3R, 3ER, 1BB, 1K, 1HR
2B: Quero (1, Jax); Meidroth (4, Matz)
HR: Pereira (3, 8th inning off Kelly 0 on, 1 Out); Vargas (2, 3rd inning off Matz 0 on, 1 Out)
RBI: Pereira (5), Vargas (8), Quero (1)
Tampa Bay Rays :
S. Matz (SP, 3.80) 5.1, 6H, 2R, 2ER, 1BB, 4K, 1HR
K. Kelly (W, 2-1, 7.04) 2.0, 1H, 1R, 1ER, 1BB, 2K, 1HR
B. Baker (S, 4, 3.68)
HR: Caminero (4, 9th inning off Domínguez 0 on, 0 Out)
RBI: Walls 2 (4), Palacios (4), Feduccia (2), Caminero (7)
Rays vs. White Sox Game Highlights (4/16/26) | MLB Highlights
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 0%
Away: 50%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.56 - 1.64)
HOMETEAM: 39%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 61%

Chicago White Sox (Fact Index 2.56): Expected Win % is 39%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.

Tampa Bay Rays (Fact Index 1.64): Expected Win % is 61%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 50%
0%
AWAY : 50%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 50%
7%
Underdog : 43%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 4.5 - 5.0 (Model A.)
Chicago White Sox : 42% (▲ 3%)
0% (-)
Tampa Bay Rays : 58% (▼ 3%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Chicago White Sox | 0.333 | 0.282 | ▼ 0.051
T | Tampa Bay Rays | 0.588 | 0.489 | ▼ 0.099
H | Chicago White Sox | 0.375 | 0.412 | ▲ 0.037
A | Tampa Bay Rays | 0.545 | 0.523 | ▼ 0.022
P | Chicago White Sox | 0.333 | 0.306 | ▼ 0.027
P | Tampa Bay Rays | 0.833 | 0.624 | ▼ 0.209
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 4.4 - 4.6 (Model B.4)
Chicago White Sox : 48% (▲ 9%)
0% (-)
Tampa Bay Rays : 52% (▼ 9%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)


Average Odds : 2.1 - 1.8
Chicago White Sox : 46% (▲ 7%)
0% (-)
Tampa Bay Rays : 54% (▼ 7%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 50%
D : 0%
AWAY : 50%

Awayteam = 1.8 Trend:

HOME : 57%
D : 0%
AWAY : 43%

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