Minnesota Twins

6 - 0

Boston Red Sox

Minnesota Twins dominates at home, making it 6 consecutive home victories. However, Boston Red Sox Winless in 2 as Slump Continues.

Tue, Apr 14, 2026 23:40 (UTC)


Facts

Minnesota Twins :
M. Abel (SP, W, 1-2, 3.98) 7.0, 4H, 10K
HR: Buxton 2 (3, 3rd inning off Gray 0 on, 0 Out, 6th inning off J. Anderson 0 on, 2 Out); Lee (3, 4th inning off Gray 0 on, 0 Out)
RBI: Buxton 2 (4), Larnach 2 (7), Lee (10), Keaschall (9)
Boston Red Sox :
S. Gray (SP, L, 2-1, 4.43) 4.0, 9H, 5R, 5ER, 1BB, 1K, 2HR
2B: Anthony (3, Rogers)
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 0%
Away: 50%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.56 - 2.78)
HOMETEAM: 64%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 36%

Minnesota Twins (Fact Index 1.56): Expected Win % is 64%, compared to a 67% actual win rate for identical index values.

Boston Red Sox (Fact Index 2.78): Expected Win % is 36%, compared to a 33% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 67%
0%
AWAY : 33%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 53%
0%
Underdog : 47%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 5.0 - 5.0 (Model A.)
Minnesota Twins : 56% (▼ 8%)
0% (-)
Boston Red Sox : 44% (▲ 8%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Minnesota Twins | 0.588 | 0.581 | ▼ 0.007
T | Boston Red Sox | 0.375 | 0.455 | ▲ 0.080
H | Minnesota Twins | 0.750 | 0.656 | ▼ 0.094
A | Boston Red Sox | 0.300 | 0.393 | ▲ 0.093
P | Minnesota Twins | 0.833 | 0.673 | ▼ 0.160
P | Boston Red Sox | 0.667 | 0.665 | ▼ 0.002
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 5.1 - 6.1 (Model B.4)
Minnesota Twins : 41% (▼ 23%)
0% (-)
Boston Red Sox : 59% (▲ 23%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)


Average Odds : 2.2 - 1.7
Minnesota Twins : 44% (▼ 20%)
0% (-)
Boston Red Sox : 56% (▲ 20%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 40%
D : 0%
AWAY : 60%

Awayteam = 1.7 Trend:

HOME : 53%
D : 0%
AWAY : 47%

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