Chicago Cubs

8 - 4

Atlanta Braves

Wed, Sep 16, 2026 23:40 (UTC)


FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 0%
Away: 50%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.08 - 1.92)
HOMETEAM: 48%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 52%

Weight: [Adjacent] (6.90)
Intensity: [Extreme] (93.10)

Chicago Cubs (Fact Index 2.08):
Expected Win % is 48%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 53% in this event.

Atlanta Braves (Fact Index 1.92):
Expected Win % is 52%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 47% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Chicago Cubs:
T : 0.553 (0.585 / ▼0.032)
H : 0.571 (0.577 / ▼0.006)
A : 0.533 (0.594 / ▼0.061)
P : 0.500 (0.633 / ▼0.133)

Atlanta Braves:
T : 0.586 (0.581 / ▲0.005)
H : 0.654 (0.600 / ▲0.054)
A : 0.514 (0.560 / ▼0.046)
P : 0.667 (0.604 / ▲0.063)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 53%
0%
AWAY : 47%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 53%
10%
Underdog : 37%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 50%
0%
AWAY : 50%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 57%
10%
Underdog : 33%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 4.1 - 4.4 (Model A.)
Chicago Cubs : 48% (-)
0% (-)
Atlanta Braves : 52% (-)

Expected Runs (xR) : 4.3 - 3.9 (Model B.4)
Chicago Cubs : 54% (▲ 6%)
0% (-)
Atlanta Braves : 46% (▼ 6%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.7 - 2.2
Chicago Cubs : 56% (▲ 8%)
0% (-)
Atlanta Braves : 44% (▼ 8%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 73%
D : 0%
AWAY : 27%

Based on Home team = 1.7 (56%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 57%
D : 0%
AWAY : 43%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 60%
D : 0%
AWAY : 40%

Based on Home team = 1.7 (56%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 47%
D : 0%
AWAY : 53%


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