Inter-League

Detroit Tigers

4 - 0

St. Louis Cardinals

Detroit Tigers Sweep St. Louis Cardinals in Last 3 Matchups. Meanwhile, St.louis Cardinals Road Trip Hell: 5th Straight Away Loss.

Fri, Apr 3, 2026 17:10 (UTC)


Facts

Detroit Tigers :
F. Valdez (SP, W 1-0, 0.75) 6.0, 3H, 0R, 0ER, 2BB, 5K
2B: Greene (3, McGreevy); McGonigle (3, McGreevy)
HR: Dingler (2, 4th inning off McGreevy 1 on, 1 Out)
RBI: Báez (2), Greene (5), Dingler 2 (7)
St. Louis Cardinals :
M. McGreevy (SP, L 0-1, 2.53), 4.2, 7H, 3R, 3ER, 4K, 1HR
Cardinals vs. Tigers Game Highlights (4/3/26) | MLB Highlights
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 60%
D: 0%
Away: 40%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.17 - 1.85)
HOMETEAM: 46%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 54%

Detroit Tigers (Fact Index 2.17): Expected Win % is 46%, compared to a 60% actual win rate for identical index values.

St. Louis Cardinals (Fact Index 1.85): Expected Win % is 54%, compared to a 40% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 60%
0%
AWAY : 40%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 60%
3%
Underdog : 37%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 6.0 - 5.0 (Model A.)
Detroit Tigers : 53% (▲ 7%)
0% (-)
St. Louis Cardinals : 47% (▼ 7%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Detroit Tigers | 0.333 | 0.500 | ▲ 0.167
T | St. Louis Cardinals | 0.667 | 0.516 | ▼ 0.151
P | Detroit Tigers | 0.333 | 0.500 | ▲ 0.167
P | St. Louis Cardinals | 0.667 | 0.516 | ▼ 0.151
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 4.6 - 4.4 (Model B.4)
Detroit Tigers : 53% (▲ 7%)
0% (-)
St. Louis Cardinals : 47% (▼ 7%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)


Average Odds : 1.6 - 2.4
Detroit Tigers : 61% (▲ 15%)
0% (-)
St. Louis Cardinals : 39% (▼ 15%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 53%
D : 0%
AWAY : 47%

Hometeam = 1.6 Trend:

HOME : 50%
D : 0%
AWAY : 50%

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