Inter-League

Houston Astros

6 - 10

Pittsburgh Pirates

Houston Astros Reeling: 2nd Consecutive Loss. Conversely, Pittsburgh Pirates are riding a wave of 4 consecutive wins.

Wed, Jun 3, 2026 00:10 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 0%
Away: 50%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.17 - 1.85)
HOMETEAM: 46%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 54%

Houston Astros (Fact Index 2.17): Expected Win % is 46%, compared to a 67% actual win rate for identical index values.

Pittsburgh Pirates (Fact Index 1.85): Expected Win % is 54%, compared to a 30% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 67%
3%
AWAY : 30%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 53%
10%
Underdog : 37%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 4.5 - 5.0 (Model A.)
Houston Astros : 46% (-)
0% (-)
Pittsburgh Pirates : 54% (-)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Houston Astros | 0.443 | 0.448 | ▲ 0.005
T | Pittsburgh Pirates | 0.533 | 0.550 | ▲ 0.017
H | Houston Astros | 0.448 | 0.397 | ▼ 0.051
A | Pittsburgh Pirates | 0.519 | 0.533 | ▲ 0.014
P | Houston Astros | 0.500 | 0.604 | ▲ 0.104
P | Pittsburgh Pirates | 0.667 | 0.593 | ▼ 0.074
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 4.3 - 4.5 (Model B.4)
Houston Astros : 49% (▲ 3%)
0% (-)
Pittsburgh Pirates : 51% (▼ 3%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)


Average Odds : 1.9 - 2.0
Houston Astros : 52% (▲ 6%)
0% (-)
Pittsburgh Pirates : 48% (▼ 6%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 43%
D : 0%
AWAY : 57%

Hometeam = 1.9 Trend:

HOME : 57%
D : 0%
AWAY : 43%

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