Inter-League

Arizona Diamondbacks

7 - 5

Detroit Tigers

Arizona Diamondbacks turns their stadium into a fortress with 2 straight home wins. However, A 3-game losing skid is plaguing Detroit Tigers.

Wed, Apr 1, 2026 01:40 (UTC)


Facts

Arizona Diamondbacks :
B. Pfaadt (SP, 7.50) 6.0, 6H, 5R, 5ER, 1BB, 3K
A. Hoffmann (W: 1-0, 0.00) 2.0, 1BB, 3K
P. Sewald (S: 2, 0.00) 1.0, 3K
2B: McCann (1, Anderson); Carroll (1, Vest); Moreno (2, Mize)
HR: Fernandez 2 (2, 4th inning off Mize 0 on, 2 Out, 8th inning off Jansen 2 on, 2 Out)
RBI: Carroll 2 (7), Moreno (2), Fernandez 4 (4)
SB: Thomas (2)
Detroit Tigers :
C. Mize (SP, 1.50) 6.0, 4H, 1R, 1ER, 2BB, 9K, 1HR
W. Vest (L: 0-1, 13.50) 0.2, 1H, 3R, 3ER, 2BB
K. Jansen (B: 1, 6.75) 0.1, 1H, 1R, 1ER, 1K, 1HR
2B: Rogers (1, Pfaadt); Greene (1, Pfaadt)
RBI: Rogers (1), Greene 2 (4), Carpenter (1), McGonigle (5)
D-backs rally with SIX runs against the Tigers 🫢 (Recapping ALL of the action from the 8th inning!)
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 0%
Away: 50%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.50 - 1.67)
HOMETEAM: 40%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 60%

Arizona Diamondbacks (Fact Index 2.50): Expected Win % is 40%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.

Detroit Tigers (Fact Index 1.67): Expected Win % is 60%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 50%
0%
AWAY : 50%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 50%
0%
Underdog : 50%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 5.5 - 5.0 (Model A.)
Arizona Diamondbacks : 49% (▲ 9%)
0% (-)
Detroit Tigers : 51% (▼ 9%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Arizona Diamondbacks | 0.250 | 0.384 | ▲ 0.134
T | Detroit Tigers | 0.500 | 0.578 | ▲ 0.078
A | Detroit Tigers | 0.500 | 0.578 | ▲ 0.078
P | Arizona Diamondbacks | 0.250 | 0.384 | ▲ 0.134
P | Detroit Tigers | 0.500 | 0.578 | ▲ 0.078
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 3.8 - 7.0 (Model B.4)
Arizona Diamondbacks : 18% (▼ 22%)
0% (-)
Detroit Tigers : 82% (▲ 22%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)


Average Odds : 1.9 - 1.9
Arizona Diamondbacks : 51% (▲ 11%)
0% (-)
Detroit Tigers : 49% (▼ 11%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 57%
D : 3%
AWAY : 40%

Hometeam 1.9 = 1.9 Awayteam Trend:

HOME : 40%
D : 0%
AWAY : 60%

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