Yomiuri Giants

2 - 3

Hiroshima Carp

Thu, Apr 30, 2026 09:00 (UTC)


FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 60%
D: 0%
Away: 40%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.69 - 2.70)
HOMETEAM: 59%
4%
AWAYTEAM: 37%

Yomiuri Giants (Fact Index 1.69): Expected Win % is 59%, compared to a 57% actual win rate for identical index values.

Hiroshima Carp (Fact Index 2.70): Expected Win % is 37%, compared to a 43% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 57%
0%
AWAY : 43%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 71%
0%
Underdog : 29%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 3.5 - 3.0 (Model A.)
Yomiuri Giants : 60% (▲ 1%)
0% (▼ 4%)
Hiroshima Carp : 40% (▲ 3%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Yomiuri Giants | 0.577 | 0.527 | ▼ 0.050
T | Hiroshima Carp | 0.348 | 0.409 | ▲ 0.061
H | Yomiuri Giants | 0.538 | 0.413 | ▼ 0.125
A | Hiroshima Carp | 0.222 | 0.474 | ▲ 0.252
P | Yomiuri Giants | 0.667 | 0.567 | ▼ 0.100
P | Hiroshima Carp | 0.200 | 0.601 | ▲ 0.401
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 2.6 - 2.2 (Model B.4)
Yomiuri Giants : 57% (▼ 2%)
0% (▼ 4%)
Hiroshima Carp : 43% (▲ 6%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)


Average Odds : 1.6 - 2.3
Yomiuri Giants : 59% (-)
0% (▼ 4%)
Hiroshima Carp : 41% (▲ 4%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 43%
D : 0%
AWAY : 57%

Hometeam = 1.6 Trend:

HOME : 60%
D : 3%
AWAY : 37%

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