Philadelphia Phillies

3 - 4

Arizona Diamondbacks

Sun, Apr 12, 2026 17:35 (UTC)


Facts

Philadelphia Phillies :
Z. Pop (SP, 3.68) 2.0, 3H, 1R, 1ER, 1K
A. Painter (3.77) 5.0, 3H, 1R, 1ER, 1BB, 7K
J. Alvarado (L, 0-1, B, 12.60) 0.1, 2H, 2R, 2ER
2B: Harper (5, Gallen); Schwarber (3, Gallen); Crawford (4, Gallen)
HR: Turner (1, 6th inning off Gallen 1 on, 0 Out)
Arizona Diamondbacks :
Z. Gallen (SP, 3.60) 5.0, 8H, 3R, 3ER, 1BB, 2K, 1HR
T. Clarke (W, 1-0, 4.70)
K. Ginkel (H, 2, 6.35), R. Thompson (H, 3, 0.00)
P. Sewald (S, 5, 2.84)
2B: McCann (3, Pop); Vargas (3, Painter); Carroll (4, Pop)
D-backs vs. Phillies Game Highlights (4/12/26) | MLB Highlights
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 40%
D: 0%
Away: 60%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.33 - 1.75)
HOMETEAM: 43%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 57%

Philadelphia Phillies (Fact Index 2.33): Expected Win % is 43%, compared to a 53% actual win rate for identical index values.

Arizona Diamondbacks (Fact Index 1.75): Expected Win % is 57%, compared to a 47% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 53%
0%
AWAY : 47%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 47%
0%
Underdog : 53%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 5.0 - 6.5 (Model A.)
Philadelphia Phillies : 39% (▼ 4%)
0% (-)
Arizona Diamondbacks : 61% (▲ 4%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Philadelphia Phillies | 0.500 | 0.382 | ▼ 0.118
T | Arizona Diamondbacks | 0.533 | 0.450 | ▼ 0.083
H | Philadelphia Phillies | 0.500 | 0.345 | ▼ 0.155
A | Arizona Diamondbacks | 0.375 | 0.529 | ▲ 0.154
P | Philadelphia Phillies | 0.333 | 0.254 | ▼ 0.079
P | Arizona Diamondbacks | 0.667 | 0.690 | ▲ 0.023
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 3.6 - 4.5 (Model B.4)
Philadelphia Phillies : 38% (▼ 5%)
0% (-)
Arizona Diamondbacks : 62% (▲ 5%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)


Average Odds : 1.7 - 2.2
Philadelphia Phillies : 57% (▲ 14%)
0% (-)
Arizona Diamondbacks : 43% (▼ 14%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 60%
D : 0%
AWAY : 40%

Hometeam = 1.7 Trend:

HOME : 47%
D : 0%
AWAY : 53%

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