Washington Nationals

9 - 5

Atlanta Braves

Perfect 2: Washington Nationals Grabs Another Consecutive Win. Meanwhile, Atlanta Braves Form has dropped with a 2-match slump.

Tue, Sep 1, 2026 22:45 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 30%
D: 0%
Away: 70%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.38 - 1.72)
HOMETEAM: 42%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 58%

Weight: [Gap Exists] (58.62)
Intensity: [Moderate] (41.38)

Washington Nationals (Fact Index 2.38):
Expected Win % is 42%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 50% in this event.

Atlanta Braves (Fact Index 1.72):
Expected Win % is 58%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 50% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Washington Nationals:
T : 0.471 (0.512 / ▼0.041)
H : 0.451 (0.485 / ▼0.034)
A : 0.493 (0.545 / ▼0.052)
P : 0.667 (0.516 / ▲0.151)

Atlanta Braves:
T : 0.594 (0.588 / ▲0.006)
H : 0.667 (0.613 / ▲0.054)
A : 0.515 (0.559 / ▼0.044)
P : 0.833 (0.546 / ▲0.287)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 50%
0%
AWAY : 50%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 53%
7%
Underdog : 40%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 50%
0%
AWAY : 50%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 53%
7%
Underdog : 40%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 4.3 - 4.8 (Model A.)
Washington Nationals : 44% (▲ 2%)
0% (-)
Atlanta Braves : 56% (▼ 2%)

Expected Runs (xR) : 3.3 - 4.2 (Model B.4)
Washington Nationals : 38% (▼ 4%)
0% (-)
Atlanta Braves : 62% (▲ 4%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 2.4 - 1.6
Washington Nationals : 40% (▼ 2%)
0% (-)
Atlanta Braves : 60% (▲ 2%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 57%
D : 0%
AWAY : 43%

Based on Away team = 1.6 (60%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 60%
D : 0%
AWAY : 40%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 57%
D : 0%
AWAY : 43%

Based on Away team = 1.6 (60%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 57%
D : 0%
AWAY : 43%


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